Historically it's Repubs who vote on election day . I think a lot of the early Trump voters are new voters. The old guard will show up today.

I predict (unfortunately) that in swing states, women voter turn out against Trump is what’s going to be the deciding factor for a Harris win. For a few reasons:

- it hasn’t been discussed too much, but just the simple factor of getting the first woman in that office
- emotional turn off to Trump’s historic behavior and mannerisms
- and very sadly, the current momentum of the country toward abortion

Patterns we see among peers in our state mean nothing in the electoral college. Our state is already decided. I don’t think this strategy of doubling down on bravado and what I see is playing to his base is going to work to overcome what is really needed in swing states. Hopefully I’m very wrong and y’all can make fun of me!

My wife was super fired up to vote for Trump. She watched coverage past midnight. I've never seen her that fired up over a presidential election.