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6 registered members (Thread Killer, 202P&Y, Doeslayer44, 10mm, jawbone, 1 invisible),
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Game Check Scenario
#1759505
06/13/16 04:17 AM
06/13/16 04:17 AM
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Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 22,028 USA
Remington270
OP
Freak of Nature
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OP
Freak of Nature
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 22,028
USA
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Please chime in and tell me what will happen as a result of the following scenario: Using only 2 counties for simplicity.
2016-2017 season: Winston county: 10,000 deer killed ( 4,000 bucks, 6,000 does) Dallas County: 10,000 deer killed (4,000 bucks, 6,000 does)
2017-2018 season Winston county: 11,000 deer killed (4,000 bucks killed, 7,000 does) Dallas County: 9,000 deer killed (4,000 bucks, 5,000 does)
2018-2019 season: Winston county: 8,000 deer killed (4,000 bucks, 4,000 does) Dallas county: 9,000 deer killed (4,000 bucks, 5,000 does)
2019-2020 season: Winston county: 7,600 deer killed (3,000 bucks, 4,600 does) Dallas county: 10,000 deer killed (4,000 bucks, 6,000 does)
This is the data we'll get. Someone give me an idea of what will happen next with this data.
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Re: Game Check Scenario
[Re: Remington270]
#1759513
06/13/16 04:24 AM
06/13/16 04:24 AM
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Joined: Dec 2004
Posts: 25,405 Guntersville, AL
IDOT
I am Cornholio
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I am Cornholio
Joined: Dec 2004
Posts: 25,405
Guntersville, AL
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I would imagine, they would graph multiple data points and use that data as a whole, to determine the health of the herd vs license sales and hunters. It's all about data, you have to have data. Data is used to monitor both the good and bad, without it you're just pissing in the wind.
To be honest, with information you posted alone, you couldn't make any determination of what was going on.
If you’re a common sense person, you probably don’t feel you have a home in this world right now. If you’re a Christian, you know you were never meant to.
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Re: Game Check Scenario
[Re: IDOT]
#1759517
06/13/16 04:30 AM
06/13/16 04:30 AM
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Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 22,028 USA
Remington270
OP
Freak of Nature
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OP
Freak of Nature
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 22,028
USA
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I would imagine, they would graph multiple data points and use that data as a whole, to determine the health of the herd vs license sales and hunters. It's all about data, you have to have data. Data is used to monitor both the good and bad, without it you're just pissing in the wind.
To be honest, with information you posted alone, you couldn't make any determination of what was going on. What other information will they have? This is what game check is. And if you go and don't see any deer, how will they know?
Last edited by Remington270; 06/13/16 04:30 AM.
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Re: Game Check Scenario
[Re: Remington270]
#1759548
06/13/16 05:22 AM
06/13/16 05:22 AM
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Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377 Gulfcrest
bigt
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
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I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population.
Last edited by bigt; 06/13/16 05:24 AM.
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Re: Game Check Scenario
[Re: bigt]
#1759657
06/13/16 08:13 AM
06/13/16 08:13 AM
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Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 22,028 USA
Remington270
OP
Freak of Nature
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OP
Freak of Nature
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 22,028
USA
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I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population. How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts.
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Re: Game Check Scenario
[Re: bigt]
#1759660
06/13/16 08:17 AM
06/13/16 08:17 AM
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Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 3,494 Jefferson
Fun4all
10 point
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10 point
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 3,494
Jefferson
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I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population. You realized that the deer herd Statewide was growing or stable until the highbrow QDMA management strategies were the management advantage, oops didn't mean to imply anything, management style became vogue. Now to listen to the noise no deer are being seen, renegades are slaughtering everything that is brown and now we need to change to the next highbrow management strategy du jour to correct the management plan that was instituted to solve the too many does and not enough giant magnormous elk antler pig bucks. So what will be next to solve the next problem that was created by the same government group that created the previous problem?? The circular stupidity of government feeds itself.
"After all, it is not the killing that brings satisfaction; it is the contest of skill and cunning. The true hunter counts his achievement in proportion to the effort involved and the fairness of the sport." Dr. Saxton Pope
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Re: Game Check Scenario
[Re: Remington270]
#1759847
06/13/16 01:45 PM
06/13/16 01:45 PM
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Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377 Gulfcrest
bigt
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
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I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population. How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts. That's were using my other resources will come in handy
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Re: Game Check Scenario
[Re: Fun4all]
#1759850
06/13/16 01:47 PM
06/13/16 01:47 PM
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Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377 Gulfcrest
bigt
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
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I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population. You realized that the deer herd Statewide was growing or stable until the highbrow QDMA management strategies were the management advantage, oops didn't mean to imply anything, management style became vogue. Now to listen to the noise no deer are being seen, renegades are slaughtering everything that is brown and now we need to change to the next highbrow management strategy du jour to correct the management plan that was instituted to solve the too many does and not enough giant magnormous elk antler pig bucks. So what will be next to solve the next problem that was created by the same government group that created the previous problem?? The circular stupidity of government feeds itself. I am hopeful that with more data available to the State they will be able to avoid another major screw up like the two does a day for the whole season for the whole state for way too long.
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Re: Game Check Scenario
[Re: bigt]
#1759851
06/13/16 01:49 PM
06/13/16 01:49 PM
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Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,967 Tuscaloosa Co.
N2TRKYS
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,967
Tuscaloosa Co.
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I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population. How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts. That's were using my other resources will come in handy What are your other resources?
83% of all statistics are made up.
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Re: Game Check Scenario
[Re: centralala]
#1759853
06/13/16 01:49 PM
06/13/16 01:49 PM
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Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377 Gulfcrest
bigt
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
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Fun4all, I don't disagree with you but believe you are missing a BIG part of the equation: COYOTES!! I'm of the opinion they have hurt the deer population more than hunters. Or at least in my area anyway. They will kill a new born in short order even if they have just eaten. But this may not be the case where you are. I believe you are correct and hopefully with the added data the State will be able to recognize negative trends quicker....
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Re: Game Check Scenario
[Re: N2TRKYS]
#1759854
06/13/16 01:50 PM
06/13/16 01:50 PM
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Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377 Gulfcrest
bigt
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
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I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population. How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts. That's were using my other resources will come in handy What are your other resources? Like I said I am not the biologist but I would look closely at all properties registered in our management program in that area, do localized deer censuses, survey local hunters and processors and ect.
Last edited by bigt; 06/13/16 01:54 PM.
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Re: Game Check Scenario
[Re: bigt]
#1759856
06/13/16 01:53 PM
06/13/16 01:53 PM
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Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,967 Tuscaloosa Co.
N2TRKYS
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,967
Tuscaloosa Co.
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I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population. How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts. That's were using my other resources will come in handy What are your other resources? I didn't see your response. What other resources are you referring to that don't already exist?
83% of all statistics are made up.
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Re: Game Check Scenario
[Re: N2TRKYS]
#1759860
06/13/16 01:57 PM
06/13/16 01:57 PM
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Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377 Gulfcrest
bigt
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
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I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population. How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts. That's were using my other resources will come in handy What are your other resources? I didn't see your response. What other resources are you referring to that don't already exist? They may exist but without data pinpointing a specific area that may be having the problem I doubt the State has the personal to research the whole state in that specific manner....
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Re: Game Check Scenario
[Re: bigt]
#1759871
06/13/16 02:10 PM
06/13/16 02:10 PM
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Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,967 Tuscaloosa Co.
N2TRKYS
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,967
Tuscaloosa Co.
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I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population. How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts. That's were using my other resources will come in handy What are your other resources? I didn't see your response. What other resources are you referring to that don't already exist? They may exist but without data pinpointing a specific area that may be having the problem I doubt the State has the personal to research the whole state in that specific manner.... I don't know. There's at least 2 guys on here that will and do come out to check specific areas all the time.
83% of all statistics are made up.
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Re: Game Check Scenario
[Re: Remington270]
#1759944
06/13/16 02:52 PM
06/13/16 02:52 PM
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Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 8,479
Atoler
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 8,479
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I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population. How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts. There's all kinds of data you can draw from. Total kill numbers yes, sex of kills, yes, but also date of kill, hunter success by license, hunter success by sex, etc I believe that year to year your avg hunter success will be just as telling as total harvest in a county. To simplify, if the avg entry by hunter, in Winston county is 1 buck, 3 does the first year, then 5 years later that has steadily decreased to .5 buck, 1 doe, it would be obvious there's a significant decrease in quantity, unless regulations changed. That could also be very telling, when the season was broken down into sections, bow season, early gun, mid, late, whenever the rut is, etc. this would tell you whether the deer were there, and just being over pressured, disappearing later in the season. Combine several years of total harvest, Buck/doe harvest ratio, avg success per participant, and when the deer were killed. If you can't paint a pretty accurate picture off that, then you aren't trying.
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Re: Game Check Scenario
[Re: N2TRKYS]
#1759948
06/13/16 02:56 PM
06/13/16 02:56 PM
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Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 8,479
Atoler
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 8,479
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I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population. How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts. That's were using my other resources will come in handy What are your other resources? I didn't see your response. What other resources are you referring to that don't already exist? They may exist but without data pinpointing a specific area that may be having the problem I doubt the State has the personal to research the whole state in that specific manner.... I don't know. There's at least 2 guys on here that will and do come out to check specific areas all the time. We both know the state is terrible at handling our tax dollars. Unfortunately, the people we have on this forum are the exception to the rule in hunting. Most of us will invest the time and energy to get state guys out there if we need to. If everybody was as obsessed as most of us, the state wouldn't be able to supply the personel to meet the demand. But, they could potentially focus on a few areas that were having problems.
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