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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Smells] #2219892
09/08/17 02:46 PM
09/08/17 02:46 PM
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,326
Luverne, AL
Skinny Offline OP
GUVNER
Skinny  Offline OP
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Posts: 72,326
Luverne, AL
Originally Posted By: Smells
Last radar I saw had the eyewall pretty dang close to Cuba. If she's heading due west for the next 12 hours from it's current position then Cuba gets clobbered. Why wouldn't this suck all kinds of energy out of her?


I'm feeling like this storm is gonna make America landfall as a glorified Cat 2-3 and then cause some more epic flooding like Harvey did.


"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Smells] #2219893
09/08/17 02:48 PM
09/08/17 02:48 PM
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 9,375
Jasper, AL
J
joshm28 Offline
14 point
joshm28  Offline
14 point
J
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 9,375
Jasper, AL
Originally Posted By: Smells
Last radar I saw had the eyewall pretty dang close to Cuba. If she's heading due west for the next 12 hours from it's current position then Cuba gets clobbered. Why wouldn't this suck all kinds of energy out of her?


Possibility. Plus Cuba has some mountains north of 5k' tall. But the sheer size of the storm may play a factor as well. A smaller storm may be more affected by the land mass. Irma not so much.

Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: YEKRUT] #2219897
09/08/17 02:48 PM
09/08/17 02:48 PM
Joined: Apr 2015
Posts: 5,588
Lee County, Alabama
dBmV Offline
12 point
dBmV  Offline
12 point
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Posts: 5,588
Lee County, Alabama
Originally Posted By: YEKRUT
Anyone heard when they will or if they will contraflow the interstates. I haven't looked yet but there has to be talk of atleast doing all of 75 in Florida into GA at some point.

The only one I've heard of so far is Interstate 16 in Georgia opening both sides for West bound traffic.


What you do today, you have to sleep with tonight.
Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Skinny] #2219904
09/08/17 02:51 PM
09/08/17 02:51 PM
Joined: Sep 2015
Posts: 9,541
Montgomery, AL
jbc Offline
14 point
jbc  Offline
14 point
Joined: Sep 2015
Posts: 9,541
Montgomery, AL
Originally Posted By: Skinny
Originally Posted By: Clem
What we know today as the Keys likely will be gone Sunday.


They will not be gone, but they may be re-arranged a little.


I got an email from Navionics telling me to update my card if I was going down there.

So they're clearly expecting some movement

Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Skinny] #2219909
09/08/17 02:53 PM
09/08/17 02:53 PM
Joined: Oct 2013
Posts: 2,167
Leeds
S
Smells Offline
8 point
Smells  Offline
8 point
S
Joined: Oct 2013
Posts: 2,167
Leeds
I feel sorry for the poor slob in Key West who did the right thing and got out of Dodge, drove up the peninsula, turned left, settled in somewhere between Tallahassee and Biloxi to wait it out only to discover in another 24 hours that he's headed for Arkansas to try and get away from this storm.

Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Skinny] #2219911
09/08/17 02:55 PM
09/08/17 02:55 PM
Joined: Nov 2015
Posts: 12,974
Tuscaloosa
Geno Offline
Booner
Geno  Offline
Booner
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Tuscaloosa
Me too. That's a hell of a long way to drive.


Whoever is happy will make others happy too. Anne Frank
Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Smells] #2219913
09/08/17 02:57 PM
09/08/17 02:57 PM
Joined: Sep 2015
Posts: 9,541
Montgomery, AL
jbc Offline
14 point
jbc  Offline
14 point
Joined: Sep 2015
Posts: 9,541
Montgomery, AL
Originally Posted By: Smells
I feel sorry for the poor slob in Key West who did the right thing and got out of Dodge, drove up the peninsula, turned left, settled in somewhere between Tallahassee and Biloxi to wait it out only to discover in another 24 hours that he's headed for Arkansas to try and get away from this storm.


At that point go to Jacksonville or Atlanta.

No point in getting further

Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Skinny] #2219914
09/08/17 02:58 PM
09/08/17 02:58 PM
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 26,793
Tampa
B
Beer Belly Offline
Freak of Nature
Beer Belly  Offline
Freak of Nature
B
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 26,793
Tampa

I know people on Key Largo that didn't leave. I hope that I still know them next week.


--------------
For what it is worth: I still agree with me!
A big man will stand up for himself; a great man will stand up for others.
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Skinny] #2219917
09/08/17 02:59 PM
09/08/17 02:59 PM
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 7,947
Monroe County, AL
D
deadeye Offline
14 point
deadeye  Offline
14 point
D
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 7,947
Monroe County, AL
This look familiar? Hurricane Ivan about 6 days before landfall in Al/ FL panhandle..



A man is not old until regrets take the place of dreams

He alone is educated who has learned the lessons of open-mindedness

Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Skinny] #2219919
09/08/17 03:00 PM
09/08/17 03:00 PM
Joined: Nov 2015
Posts: 12,974
Tuscaloosa
Geno Offline
Booner
Geno  Offline
Booner
Joined: Nov 2015
Posts: 12,974
Tuscaloosa
May have to take a boat to see them for a while. If they get breached right where they live, the land may turn into sea as well.


Whoever is happy will make others happy too. Anne Frank
Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Beer Belly] #2219920
09/08/17 03:03 PM
09/08/17 03:03 PM
Joined: Dec 2004
Posts: 25,421
Guntersville, AL
IDOT Offline
I am Cornholio
IDOT  Offline
I am Cornholio
Joined: Dec 2004
Posts: 25,421
Guntersville, AL
Originally Posted By: Beer Belly

I know people on Key Largo that didn't leave. I hope that I still know them next week.


What was their reasoning for staying?


Originally Posted by Patricia Heaton
If you’re a common sense person, you probably don’t feel you have a home in this world right now. If you’re a Christian, you know you were never meant to.


Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: deadeye] #2219925
09/08/17 03:08 PM
09/08/17 03:08 PM
Joined: Feb 2002
Posts: 44,329
North Alabama
W
Wiley Coyote Offline
Freak of Nature
Wiley Coyote  Offline
Freak of Nature
W
Joined: Feb 2002
Posts: 44,329
North Alabama
Originally Posted By: deadeye
This look familiar? Hurricane Ivan about 6 days before landfall in Al/ FL panhandle..







We had high winds and broken power poles, trees down, etc in Athens and Rogersville with Ivan. That bastard came WAY inland with high winds.



Get the F out of the BATFE. The F is guaranteed by the US Constitution. Those other letters are not.


NRA Life Member
Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Skinny] #2219926
09/08/17 03:10 PM
09/08/17 03:10 PM
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,326
Luverne, AL
Skinny Offline OP
GUVNER
Skinny  Offline OP
GUVNER
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Posts: 72,326
Luverne, AL
Its a really big bad storm.


"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Skinny] #2219929
09/08/17 03:11 PM
09/08/17 03:11 PM
Joined: Apr 2016
Posts: 3,546
Mobile, AL
soalaturkeys Offline
10 point
soalaturkeys  Offline
10 point
Joined: Apr 2016
Posts: 3,546
Mobile, AL
Just posted this to a FB friend (and real liberal friend) who posted the meme about how betcha you Republicans are sorry you doubted ALGORE when he said hurricanes would get stronger and bigger with Global Warming/Climate Change (Picture comparing Andrew to Irma). I posted this:

Labor Day Key West Hurricane 1935-The hurricane struck the Florida Keys as a Category 5, the highest ranking possible. It killed more than 200 World War One veterans who were in the Keys to build a highway. The storm ranks as the most intense hurricane to hit the United States, based on a record low barometric pressure reading of 26.35 inches, according to the National Weather Service. It generated wind speeds of up to 200 miles per hour (322 km per hour). After ravaging the Keys, the storm moved north off the western coast of Florida before turning inland. In all, more than 400 people died in Florida. Yeah...Climate Change...right...got it.


"For the Truth the Turkey is in Comparison a much more respectable Bird, and withal a true original Native of America" ~Benjamin Franklin

Isaiah 40:13-14

RAP is CRAP

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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Skinny] #2219933
09/08/17 03:13 PM
09/08/17 03:13 PM
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 10,995
coffee county
goodman_hunter Offline
Booner
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coffee county
Let's say it rides the West coast or veers a little further west and heads north. What would be a safe distance from the coast. 100 miles?


"A moment of realization is worth a thousand prayers"
Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Skinny] #2219934
09/08/17 03:14 PM
09/08/17 03:14 PM
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,326
Luverne, AL
Skinny Offline OP
GUVNER
Skinny  Offline OP
GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,326
Luverne, AL
Liberals think of change in 20 year cycles, Conservatives think of change on 50 year cycles. Nature doesnt give a damn about time or numbers.


"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Skinny] #2219935
09/08/17 03:15 PM
09/08/17 03:15 PM
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 26,793
Tampa
B
Beer Belly Offline
Freak of Nature
Beer Belly  Offline
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B
Joined: Oct 2001
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Tampa

Other than storms that decimated populated areas prior to weather satellites were unknown. Hurricane "history" is only ~30yrs old.


--------------
For what it is worth: I still agree with me!
A big man will stand up for himself; a great man will stand up for others.
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Beer Belly] #2219938
09/08/17 03:17 PM
09/08/17 03:17 PM
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,326
Luverne, AL
Skinny Offline OP
GUVNER
Skinny  Offline OP
GUVNER
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Posts: 72,326
Luverne, AL
Originally Posted By: Beer Belly

Other than storms that decimated populated areas prior to weather satellites were unknown. Hurricane "history" is only ~30yrs old.


Hurricane history started in Pensacola, Florida. The earliest settlement by Europeans was there and was totaled by a Hurricane.


"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: Skinny] #2219939
09/08/17 03:17 PM
09/08/17 03:17 PM
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 31,681
Slidell, La
perchjerker Offline
Freak of Nature
perchjerker  Offline
Freak of Nature
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Posts: 31,681
Slidell, La
Soala what the hell is wrong with that guy. Doesn't he know it's Trump controlling to storm to remove Cuba illegals? slap


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Life is too short to only hunt and fish on weekends!

If being a dumbass was fatal some of you would be on your death bed!

Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn [Re: goodman_hunter] #2219942
09/08/17 03:19 PM
09/08/17 03:19 PM
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 26,793
Tampa
B
Beer Belly Offline
Freak of Nature
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B
Joined: Oct 2001
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Tampa
Originally Posted By: goodman_hunter
Let's say it rides the West coast or veers a little further west and heads north. What would be a safe distance from the coast. 100 miles?


Hurricane force winds = 70 miles from center
100+ mph winds = ~10-15 miles from center

Up the west coast of FL = Major storm surge (wind blown surge). The gulf around FL is very shallow that the water just stacks up on top of itself. Get the hell away from the shore. This will kill people.

There are 2 types of storm surge: the bubble under the storm due to low pressure and wind blown waves that stack up on top of themselves.


--------------
For what it is worth: I still agree with me!
A big man will stand up for himself; a great man will stand up for others.
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