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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: woodduck]
#2219955
09/08/17 03:27 PM
09/08/17 03:27 PM
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Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
Skinny
OP
GUVNER
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OP
GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
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Last radar I saw had the eyewall pretty dang close to Cuba. If she's heading due west for the next 12 hours from it's current position then Cuba gets clobbered. Why wouldn't this suck all kinds of energy out of her? same thing I'm wondering. Looks like it just took a big wobble due west and is starting to slam Cuba now. Cuba aint sh1t to the weather.
"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: soalaturkeys]
#2219972
09/08/17 03:37 PM
09/08/17 03:37 PM
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Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 6,117
Hoover, AL
M48scout
12 point
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12 point
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 6,117
Hoover, AL
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Just posted this to a FB friend (and real liberal friend) who posted the meme about how betcha you Republicans are sorry you doubted ALGORE when he said hurricanes would get stronger and bigger with Global Warming/Climate Change (Picture comparing Andrew to Irma). I posted this:
Labor Day Key West Hurricane 1935-The hurricane struck the Florida Keys as a Category 5, the highest ranking possible. It killed more than 200 World War One veterans who were in the Keys to build a highway. The storm ranks as the most intense hurricane to hit the United States, based on a record low barometric pressure reading of 26.35 inches, according to the National Weather Service. It generated wind speeds of up to 200 miles per hour (322 km per hour). After ravaging the Keys, the storm moved north off the western coast of Florida before turning inland. In all, more than 400 people died in Florida. Yeah...Climate Change...right...got it.
What's his explanation for the last 10 years? They've been saying greenhouse gases and (supposed) associated temperature rise/climate change have just continued to climb over the last decade. I assume they didn't take credit for the evil greenhouse gases reducing hurricanes over the last decade so how are they assigning blame for the sporadic ones that hit now? Preaching to the choir I know.
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Skinny]
#2219974
09/08/17 03:39 PM
09/08/17 03:39 PM
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Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
Skinny
OP
GUVNER
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OP
GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
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Ok, I am thinking that I may be wrong, but I have seen this before.
The Storm is rolling into Cuba, (God Bless Them). But I am thinking Cuba's geaographry will tear the storm apart, at least weaken it. I also think it will hit the panhandle of Florida as a Cat 2-3. Apalachacolia area better have their sh1t together.
"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Skinny]
#2219981
09/08/17 03:44 PM
09/08/17 03:44 PM
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Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 4,329
Northeast Florida
BamaGrad85
10 point
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10 point
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 4,329
Northeast Florida
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I think it's going to skirt South Florida, intensify and turn north and hit somewhere between Mobile & Panama City. Just a hunch.
I came, I saw, so I killed them all......Vern
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: BamaGrad85]
#2219984
09/08/17 03:45 PM
09/08/17 03:45 PM
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Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 14,142
Over yonder
extreme heights hunter
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 14,142
Over yonder
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I think it's going to skirt South Florida, intensify and turn north and hit somewhere between Mobile & Panama City. Just a hunch. You hush right now!
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: BamaGrad85]
#2219998
09/08/17 03:52 PM
09/08/17 03:52 PM
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Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 6,246
Henry county
coldtrail
12 point
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12 point
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 6,246
Henry county
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I think it's going to skirt South Florida, intensify and turn north and hit somewhere between Mobile & Panama City. Just a hunch. Ive been thinking that a couple days now. Probably Destin or either side. I dont think it will be a Cat 5 though.
"And the days that I keep my gratitude
Higher than my expectations
Well, I have really good days" Ray Wylie Hubbard
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Skinny]
#2220000
09/08/17 03:56 PM
09/08/17 03:56 PM
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Joined: Feb 2014
Posts: 3,851
Dothan/Hartford,Al
87dixieboy
10 point
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10 point
Joined: Feb 2014
Posts: 3,851
Dothan/Hartford,Al
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Goodbye beach house. Looks like myself, goodman, hunt big, and cactus better all get together and drink beer Monday night.
Only accurate rifles are interesting.
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: BamaGrad85]
#2220007
09/08/17 04:01 PM
09/08/17 04:01 PM
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Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 6,713
Baldwin County
mark
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 6,713
Baldwin County
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I think it's going to skirt South Florida, intensify and turn north and hit somewhere between Mobile & Panama City. Just a hunch. Well, damn. (sitting in our house in Baldwin county)
Sig Sauer, to hell and back reliable.
Whatever suits you just tickles me plum to death.
Can I refill your eggnog for you? Get you something to eat? Drive you out to the middle of nowhere and leave you for dead?
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Skinny]
#2220022
09/08/17 04:15 PM
09/08/17 04:15 PM
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Joined: Jan 2001
Posts: 12,323
Birmingham
wew3006
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Jan 2001
Posts: 12,323
Birmingham
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I hear what you guys are saying; but there is not a single outlier scientific forecast that I have seen being discussed that does not take this up the Florida peninsula in some manner. And the cone is closing.
Please explain your indicators to us non-weather geeks?
Last edited by wew3006; 09/08/17 04:20 PM.
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: extreme heights hunter]
#2220025
09/08/17 04:16 PM
09/08/17 04:16 PM
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Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 4,329
Northeast Florida
BamaGrad85
10 point
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10 point
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 4,329
Northeast Florida
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I think it's going to skirt South Florida, intensify and turn north and hit somewhere between Mobile & Panama City. Just a hunch. You hush right now! Sorry Joseph, but the Mobile and Florida Panhandle has been due for some time. I do pray I'm wrong bro. If it happens, call me. You & family are welcome to come to Georgia.
I came, I saw, so I killed them all......Vern
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Skinny]
#2220028
09/08/17 04:19 PM
09/08/17 04:19 PM
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Joined: Apr 2016
Posts: 3,546
Mobile, AL
soalaturkeys
10 point
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10 point
Joined: Apr 2016
Posts: 3,546
Mobile, AL
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I REALLY wish all you frigging prognosticators who have a FEELING Irma is going to keep tracking west would STFU!!!!!  I know, I know, it could happen...no one really knows until the be-ach hits the coast. I honestly do not think you can compare tracks of any hurricane to another hurricane. So many variables are in play, which again is why, as a scientist, climate change as a man-made phenomenon just doesn't fly, not based on current knowledge anyway... we can't pre-dict chit!!
"For the Truth the Turkey is in Comparison a much more respectable Bird, and withal a true original Native of America" ~Benjamin Franklin
Isaiah 40:13-14
RAP is CRAP
NRA Life Member, GOA, BamaCarry Member
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: wew3006]
#2220031
09/08/17 04:21 PM
09/08/17 04:21 PM
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Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 9,457
Right behind you
Mbrock
Fancy
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Fancy
Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 9,457
Right behind you
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I hear what you guys are saying; but there is not a single outlier scientific forecast being discussed that does not take this up the Florida peninsula in some manner. And the cone is closing.
Please explain your indicators to us non-weather geeks? I'm using what I've seen from past storms that didn't give a flying flip about their models or forecasts. I'm far from a weather guru. I just can't see that light cool front to the north impacting this storms path in the least little bit. Every update is farther west than the previous. I expect that to continue.
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: goodman_hunter]
#2220036
09/08/17 04:27 PM
09/08/17 04:27 PM
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Joined: Nov 2015
Posts: 12,975
Tuscaloosa
Geno
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Nov 2015
Posts: 12,975
Tuscaloosa
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Let's say it rides the West coast or veers a little further west and heads north. What would be a safe distance from the coast. 100 miles? 150
Whoever is happy will make others happy too. Anne Frank
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Mbrock]
#2220041
09/08/17 04:30 PM
09/08/17 04:30 PM
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Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 1,982
Molino, FL
auburn17
8 point
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8 point
Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 1,982
Molino, FL
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I won't say I'm ready if it turns west, but I'll be ok. Ive got enough diesel to run the tractor/pto generator for 2 weeks, 4 cases of water, vehicles full of fuel, gas cans full, hurricane shutters can be put up in an hour, and my stove and oven are propane.
For some reason I've had an uneasy feeling that this would be another Ivan for several days. I don't wish it on anyone else, but hope like hell it doesn't come here.
I didn't see as many Mexicans/Hispanics after Ivan as I saw today. I guess they carpooled up from South Florida because they were everywhere today in Pensacola.
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Beer Belly]
#2220042
09/08/17 04:31 PM
09/08/17 04:31 PM
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Joined: Nov 2015
Posts: 12,975
Tuscaloosa
Geno
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Nov 2015
Posts: 12,975
Tuscaloosa
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Other than storms that decimated populated areas prior to weather satellites were unknown. Hurricane "history" is only ~30yrs old.
April, 1960 - TIROS. 57 years old.
Whoever is happy will make others happy too. Anne Frank
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: PRB]
#2220043
09/08/17 04:31 PM
09/08/17 04:31 PM
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Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
Skinny
OP
GUVNER
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OP
GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
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Western shift continues.  Probably a cat 3 storm just a hair west landfall of Apalachicola. Gonna be true sh1tstorm up through Dothan and up through the Chattahoochee basin.
"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
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