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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: PRB]
#2220780
09/09/17 01:31 PM
09/09/17 01:31 PM
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Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
Skinny
OP
GUVNER
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OP
GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
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She actually appears almost stalled, at the moment, with no real steering influence. I'm not convinced the shortwave is strong enough to dig in and pull her north anytime soon. Yup, and its concerning cause it will give her time to pull in the heat and get bigger. That water just ahead of her is a good bit warmer, and sometimes these things tend to follow the heat if there is nothing else steering them.
"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Skinny]
#2220787
09/09/17 01:37 PM
09/09/17 01:37 PM
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Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
Skinny
OP
GUVNER
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OP
GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
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Fat Women dont turn fast, Irma is a full blown heffer.
"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Skinny]
#2220847
09/09/17 02:03 PM
09/09/17 02:03 PM
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Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
Skinny
OP
GUVNER
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OP
GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
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Well the last official forecast had a Tropical Storm over Lower Georgia, now it has a Hurricane over lower Georgia but the track has not changed too much. That means they know its going to get stronger but they are not exactly sure where it is going to go when it starts really moving north. 
"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Skinny]
#2220853
09/09/17 02:07 PM
09/09/17 02:07 PM
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Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 26,793
Tampa
Beer Belly
Freak of Nature
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Freak of Nature
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 26,793
Tampa
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They won't update the track until 11pm. They are only moving the current point of the storm. The "X". It wasn't making any sense to me, and I looked it up.
Last edited by Beer Belly; 09/09/17 02:07 PM.
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Skinny]
#2220859
09/09/17 02:12 PM
09/09/17 02:12 PM
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Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
Skinny
OP
GUVNER
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OP
GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
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At the rate its moving now, I doubt it will make it Tampa by 2AM Monday like they are calling for. Dang thing is at a near standstill.
"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Skinny]
#2220864
09/09/17 02:16 PM
09/09/17 02:16 PM
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Joined: Nov 2004
Posts: 14,261
Pikes Peak
JDR4Bama
Chit Show Connoisseur
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Chit Show Connoisseur
Joined: Nov 2004
Posts: 14,261
Pikes Peak
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At the rate its moving now, I doubt it will make it Tampa by 2AM Monday like they are calling for. Dang thing is at a near standstill. That's bad news, right? Just give Irma more time to gather strength?
Been here long enough to go from "bring 'da pain" to " bring 'da pain meds.
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Skinny]
#2220884
09/09/17 02:25 PM
09/09/17 02:25 PM
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Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
Skinny
OP
GUVNER
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OP
GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
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Yes that is bad news. All of the forecasting models tend to rely on the basic principal that things will stay in motion. I can't recall ever seeing a big storm stop its forward momentum.
"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Skinny]
#2220885
09/09/17 02:25 PM
09/09/17 02:25 PM
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Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 52,130
Round ‘bout there
Clem
Mildly Quirky
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Mildly Quirky
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 52,130
Round ‘bout there
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Pretty much, yep, especially with the warmer water there in the stream-keys-Florida Bay.
"Hunting Politics are stupid!" - Farm Hunter
"Bible says you shouldn't put sugar in your cornbread." Dustin, 2013
"Best I can figure 97.365% of the general public is a paint chip eating, mouth breathing, certified dumbass." BCLC, 2020
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: trox28]
#2220906
09/09/17 02:39 PM
09/09/17 02:39 PM
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Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 11,222
Conecuh county
hallb
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 11,222
Conecuh county
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This has just been one crazy ass hurricane since it started.I don't know whether to board my windows up and head north or grab my beer and head south.One thing is for damn sure.Florida is gonna get it bad whether it makes landfall there or not being on the eastside of it.As big as it is there is gonna be tornados spinning up everywhere.I got a feeling it's gonna make landfall in the panhandle probably as a cat 5.It keeps shifting further and further west and now is damn near at a standstill which shows that this cold front that's suppose to steer it back across Fl and up the east coast is not strong enough for it to make a quick turn north.I think it's gonna be a very slow drawn out turn that puts it somewhere around Pensacola making landfall.Then again the sob may head straight to Mexico..I really don't know and I don't think no-one does.Just been so unpredictable so far. Man, I hate it for them over near Tampa, but I dang sure don't want that thing coming this way towards Pensacola!! I've already pretty much decided where I live, I plan to ride out any storm. I'm around 16 miles from the actual coastline, although Blackwater Bay is much closer to me. I figure I'll just put my shutters up and hunker down.
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Skinny]
#2220913
09/09/17 02:45 PM
09/09/17 02:45 PM
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Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
Skinny
OP
GUVNER
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OP
GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
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Trox, I was calling for Cape San Blas or just left of Apalachicola. Now that its stalled I dont know, seems like the steering front aint steering sh1t at the moment.
"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Skinny]
#2220915
09/09/17 02:48 PM
09/09/17 02:48 PM
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Joined: Apr 2015
Posts: 5,588
Lee County, Alabama
dBmV
12 point
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12 point
Joined: Apr 2015
Posts: 5,588
Lee County, Alabama
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The way it's stalled out, it's almost like she's just stopped to catch her breath before her final assault.
What you do today, you have to sleep with tonight.
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Wiley Coyote]
#2220917
09/09/17 02:49 PM
09/09/17 02:49 PM
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Joined: Aug 2006
Posts: 32,451
North Alabama
YEKRUT
Turkey Nut
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Turkey Nut
Joined: Aug 2006
Posts: 32,451
North Alabama
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And that bitch is parked on my lease in TN at 2PM Tuesday. We planned to plant next weekend  We planted ours today. We had to cancel our yearly tradition of Labor Day weekend because of 4" last week. Bet we get some rain on it this week too, probably bury it 7' deep
Some men are mere hunters; others are turkey hunters. —Archibald Rutledge—
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Skinny]
#2220923
09/09/17 02:50 PM
09/09/17 02:50 PM
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Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
Skinny
OP
GUVNER
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OP
GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,346
Luverne, AL
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Its not a her or him, its just an it, a damn storm that is inconveniencing the heck out of the entire right half of the country.
"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
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Re: Hurricane Irma thread #3...waiting on the turn
[Re: Skinny]
#2220933
09/09/17 02:56 PM
09/09/17 02:56 PM
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Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 12,018
chilton co.
trox28
on probation
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on probation
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 12,018
chilton co.
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Trox, I was calling for Cape San Blas or just left of Apalachicola. Now that its stalled I dont know, seems like the steering front aint steering sh1t at the moment. Yea I agree..I think it's just to powerful for the front that's suppose to push it north to push it now or either that front has weakened substantially and ain't got the ass left to push it where they think.Either way wherever it hits is gonna be catastrophic.I hope like hell by some miracle it takes a hard southern turn or something and dies out before anymore lives are lost and damage done but I know that's unrealistic.Its gonna end up making landfall the next couple days somewhere where the folks wasn't prepared because of the track the weather gurus was confident in it taking all week.My place is still open for any of y'all that need a place a little farther north.
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