When they issue any severe product out past 3 days it is worth paying attention to. That type setup is actually some of the easier forecasts to get right, but it all has to come together at the right time for something like 4-27-11 to happen.

Mild under-describes it. We need some winter. I'm beginning to believe in global warming.

He’s not available down here but if at any time I have a question about weather I take a look to see what James span says. If he says it’s about to go down then it’s about to go down. I feel like they pander to the worry some and fear monger to get people to tune in sometimes.

Weather forecast have come a long way in the past couple of years. A lot of lives have been saved due to the ability to see these events coming far ahead of time. I know some people personally who made better decisions in situations that turned critical because of continued long range warnings... but what do they know right..

Tor Con 10 will get your attention

Mild under-describes it. We need some winter. I'm beginning to believe in global warming.[/quote]

[/quote]

🙄

Global what? Never heard of it...

here is the latest discussion from the BMX NWS in Calera

.LONG TERM...
/UPDATED AT 0359 AM CST TUE JAN 07 2020/

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL FAVOR LIGHT
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE 30S ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE DRY WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND MOST OF THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE KEEPING
ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY TO OUR NORTHWEST.

HIGHER RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AS A TROUGH MATURES OVER
TEXAS AND NEW MEXICO, LEADING TO THE ONSET OF STRONGER DEEP-LAYER
SOUTHERLY FLOW. THIS WILL SUPPORT A WIDE WARM SECTOR FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY AHEAD OF A STRONG SHORTWAVE TAKING ON A NEGATIVE
TILT. THIS SHORTWAVE APPEARS POISED TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE HIGH-
QUALITY WARM SECTOR, WITH STRONG DYNAMICS IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO
AND AIMED DIRECTLY AT THE WARM SECTOR. IN OTHER WORDS, THIS HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT, AND
MODELS HAVE BEEN RATHER CONSISTENT IN THIS REGARD. AT MINIMUM,
STRONG FORCING WOULD RESULT IN A QLCS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND EMBEDDED TORNADOES.

THE POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS AHEAD OF THE QLCS WILL DEPEND ON THE
STATE OF THE WARM SECTOR. AT FACE VALUE, MODELS INDICATE CAPE
VALUES OF 500-1000 J/KG, BUT THIS COULD BE TOO LOW. IF THE WARM
SECTOR IS RELATIVELY UNCONTAMINATED, TEMPERATURES WOULD RISE INTO
THE LOWER TO MID 70S DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS ON SATURDAY, AIDING IN THE FORMATION OF CELLULAR CONVECTION
AHEAD OF THE QLCS. DUE TO UNUSUALLY GOOD MODEL CONSISTENCY, OUR
THREAT CONFIDENCE WILL BE RAISED TO A 3 OUT OF 5 IN THE HWO
.

THIS SYSTEM SHOULD EXIT THE AREA LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR SATURDAY
EVENING, WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY EXCEPT ACROSS OUR
SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES. HERE THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL AND
RETURN NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY.
SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD EXPAND IN COVERAGE AND
MOVE NORTHWARD TO NEAR I-59 ON MONDAY.

87/GRANTHAM

Help a dumb guy out, what's QLCS?

quasi-linear convective system - aka a storm front/line

Thanks, ima learn something one day.

May as well color all the rivers blue. After the big rain this past weekend...everything is out of bank and or saturated.

All caps, red font, AND underlined? Is that the NWS equivalent of the James Spann sleeve roll?