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New trucks sale prices in the future #3430496
06/24/21 09:54 PM
06/24/21 09:54 PM
Joined: Feb 2006
Posts: 719
Winchester
G
gbee Offline OP
4 point
gbee  Offline OP
4 point
G
Joined: Feb 2006
Posts: 719
Winchester
What is everyones thought on truck sale prices in the future, Do you think prices will stay at the inflated prices, go higher or go back to a year or so prices ? Myself I don't really see the prices dropping much as long as truck sales are as high as they are now. Most of the Toyota dealers have trucks already sold that aren't scheduled to be there until next month.

Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: gbee] #3430503
06/24/21 10:19 PM
06/24/21 10:19 PM
Joined: Aug 2014
Posts: 21,257
Northport, AL
GomerPyle Offline
Impatient Stinky Britches Wearin’ Off-Roadin’ Guru
GomerPyle  Offline
Impatient Stinky Britches Wearin’ Off-Roadin’ Guru
Joined: Aug 2014
Posts: 21,257
Northport, AL

I’m curious to see what happens whenever the computer chip shortage ends and all these new trucks sitting in a field waiting for a chip finally make it to dealerships.


There are 3 certainties in an uncertain world:

1. All Politicians Are Liars
2. All Gun Laws Are an Infringement
3. Taxation Is Theft
Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: gbee] #3430511
06/24/21 10:35 PM
06/24/21 10:35 PM
Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 1,071
Prattville
J
jake44 Offline
6 point
jake44  Offline
6 point
J
Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 1,071
Prattville
Me too, but am afraid, as long as folks keep spending
$85k on a new Duramax, $75k on new Tahoe, they probably won't go down

Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: gbee] #3430515
06/24/21 10:48 PM
06/24/21 10:48 PM
Joined: Dec 2014
Posts: 3,772
Pace, FL
daylate Offline
10 point
daylate  Offline
10 point
Joined: Dec 2014
Posts: 3,772
Pace, FL
If gas prices go much higher, I am betting they will go down substantially. The last time gas was $4 a gallon, dealerships couldn't give trucks away.

Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: gbee] #3430518
06/24/21 10:50 PM
06/24/21 10:50 PM
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 2,780
Montgomery, AL
F
Forrestgump1 Offline
10 point
Forrestgump1  Offline
10 point
F
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 2,780
Montgomery, AL
As long as people keep paying these ridiculous prices you can expect it to become the new norm.

Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: gbee] #3430519
06/24/21 10:52 PM
06/24/21 10:52 PM
Joined: May 2020
Posts: 464
Jasper,al
J
JasperGlass Offline
4 point
JasperGlass  Offline
4 point
J
Joined: May 2020
Posts: 464
Jasper,al
Hopefully used cars will be cheap once the market is flooded with new vehicles. I heard and idk if it’s true but it will be 2023 before the Chips are here.

Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: gbee] #3430523
06/24/21 11:05 PM
06/24/21 11:05 PM
Joined: Jun 2015
Posts: 14,393
Some Marriott/Auburn
A
AU7MM08 Offline
Booner
AU7MM08  Offline
Booner
A
Joined: Jun 2015
Posts: 14,393
Some Marriott/Auburn
Something that hasn’t been mentioned is how long people are financing vehicles and how low the interest rates are.

Many people are shopping a payment, not too concerned with the total.

Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: AU7MM08] #3430525
06/24/21 11:23 PM
06/24/21 11:23 PM
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 2,780
Montgomery, AL
F
Forrestgump1 Offline
10 point
Forrestgump1  Offline
10 point
F
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 2,780
Montgomery, AL
Originally Posted by AU7MM08
Something that hasn’t been mentioned is how long people are financing vehicles and how low the interest rates are.

Many people are shopping a payment, not too concerned with the total.

Without a doubt that’s why vehicle prices got to where they are now. As long as the banks and finance companies work with brokers, you can expect loan lengths to increase to get those payments where average folks can afford them.

Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: gbee] #3430526
06/24/21 11:45 PM
06/24/21 11:45 PM
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 7,077
Selma
odocoileus Offline
14 point
odocoileus  Offline
14 point
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 7,077
Selma
I have a 2016 with 75k miles and with the equity I have in it, looking to cash it out as it makes financial sense(I think). Only problem is getting a replacement. Current prices would put me at about $67k to replace it. The $20-$25k I come out ahead would put me right back where I was 3.5 years ago when I bought it, about 40k financed for another 5 years. Albeit in a new truck. Not exactly sure what to do.

Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: odocoileus] #3430537
06/25/21 05:09 AM
06/25/21 05:09 AM
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 3,497
Centreville
weatherby Offline
10 point
weatherby  Offline
10 point
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 3,497
Centreville
Originally Posted by odocoileus
I have a 2016 with 75k miles and with the equity I have in it, looking to cash it out as it makes financial sense(I think). Only problem is getting a replacement. Current prices would put me at about $67k to replace it. The $20-$25k I come out ahead would put me right back where I was 3.5 years ago when I bought it, about 40k financed for another 5 years. Albeit in a new truck. Not exactly sure what to do.



This is me. I put my Tundra on the market just because it is "worth" approximately 10k more than I paid for it. Had a couple of dealers call me about selling, but no bites. I'm in a good spot, my truck is paid for. I don't have to sell it, I'm just looking at doing some stuff to benefit me financially.


If Caitlyn Jenner can keep his wiener and be considered a woman, I can keep my guns and be considered disarmed!
Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: Forrestgump1] #3430541
06/25/21 05:57 AM
06/25/21 05:57 AM
Joined: Oct 2013
Posts: 522
N. AL Backwater
1
163dm Offline
4 point
163dm  Offline
4 point
1
Joined: Oct 2013
Posts: 522
N. AL Backwater
Originally Posted by Forrestgump1
Originally Posted by AU7MM08
Something that hasn’t been mentioned is how long people are financing vehicles and how low the interest rates are.

Many people are shopping a payment, not too concerned with the total.

Without a doubt that’s why vehicle prices got to where they are now. As long as the banks and finance companies work with brokers, you can expect loan lengths to increase to get those payments where average folks can afford them.


^^^This. It's a repeating cycle.

0% percent interest. Keep lengthening the terms of the loan, keep raising the price. They don't give 0% loans out of the goodness of their heart.

There's a reason most of the car makers are also in the loan and credit business.

Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: gbee] #3430542
06/25/21 06:06 AM
06/25/21 06:06 AM
Joined: Aug 2014
Posts: 14,314
Mobile, AL
S
SouthBamaSlayer Offline
Gary's Fluffer
SouthBamaSlayer  Offline
Gary's Fluffer
S
Joined: Aug 2014
Posts: 14,314
Mobile, AL
If everyone would just not buy a brand new truck for 6 months to a year, prices would come down.

Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: JasperGlass] #3430547
06/25/21 06:26 AM
06/25/21 06:26 AM
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 22,860
Lickskillet, AL
Irishguy Offline
a.k.a. Dingle Johnson
Irishguy  Offline
a.k.a. Dingle Johnson
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 22,860
Lickskillet, AL
Originally Posted by JasperGlass
Hopefully used cars will be cheap once the market is flooded with new vehicles. I heard and idk if it’s true but it will be 2023 before the Chips are here.


Yep... Used prices will fall.

Firstly... The dealers are making money and staying afloat right now with used cars, but the manufacturers aren't making anything. Once the dealers become flush with new vehicles, then the manufacturers will be pushing incentives to all their dealers to move new vehicles to bring in revenue.

Secondly... Once people start buying the new cars with incentives, they will be trading in just as many used cars and used car trade-ins will flush the market and used prices will go down.

Thirdly... With all the nice used trade-ins becoming available, older used car and truck prices will fall, because everyone will either be buying from motivated sellers or trading theirs in too to get one of the good deals on newer trade-ins.

Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: gbee] #3430673
06/25/21 09:40 AM
06/25/21 09:40 AM
Joined: Dec 2014
Posts: 1,595
Eclectic
DoeNut Offline
8 point
DoeNut  Offline
8 point
Joined: Dec 2014
Posts: 1,595
Eclectic
The best bet is to be able to sell your current truck while prices are high and wait until the bottom drops out. Most people don’t have that ability with either having an extra vehicle or finding a POS to ride til then. Also requires patience (not my strong suit). I usually lose when I try to time the market so I made the deal I was comfortable with and bought the used one I wanted.

Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: gbee] #3430713
06/25/21 10:49 AM
06/25/21 10:49 AM
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 22,079
USA
R
Remington270 Offline
Freak of Nature
Remington270  Offline
Freak of Nature
R
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 22,079
USA
Serious question- have truck prices ever gone down?

Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: gbee] #3430786
06/25/21 01:27 PM
06/25/21 01:27 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 1,413
Cullman,Al.
F
fingers Offline
8 point
fingers  Offline
8 point
F
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 1,413
Cullman,Al.
I am in the market for a 3/4 ton truck. I really need it soon but I would like to try and get by for a few months to see if prices will drop. If my house sales I may pull the trigger on a 2021 F-250 XL crew cab 4x4 with 6.2 gas burner for $45k. Or I may chicken out.

Last edited by fingers; 06/25/21 01:30 PM.
Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: gbee] #3430792
06/25/21 01:34 PM
06/25/21 01:34 PM
Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 1,986
Tuscaloosa
Thisldu Offline
8 point
Thisldu  Offline
8 point
Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 1,986
Tuscaloosa
I'm going to ride my piece of crap out and wait and see if this bubble will burst.

I think another factor in the market is that cars generally last longer than they did 10-20 years ago. People aren't forced to buy new ones every 3-4 years. I think that's also contributing to the insane prices of 5-6 year old trucks with over 100,000 miles. They still have a ton of life if they have been cared for, and people know it. They are going for 75% of the cost new 5-6 years prior.


"The future's uncertain and the end is always near"
Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: gbee] #3430919
06/25/21 04:54 PM
06/25/21 04:54 PM
Joined: Feb 2006
Posts: 719
Winchester
G
gbee Offline OP
4 point
gbee  Offline OP
4 point
G
Joined: Feb 2006
Posts: 719
Winchester
I sold a 2016 GMC 2500 HD 6.0L auto, 4x4 with 43k miles the other day for more than it cost new in 2016. I bought the truck last year at a really good price when Covid hit. I put 4k miles on it in a year and decided to move it on down the road. I guess I will try and ride the bubble out and see. I didn't really need that big of a truck any way. We shall see what happens.

Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: gbee] #3430922
06/25/21 05:12 PM
06/25/21 05:12 PM
Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 5,941
Pine Hill, Al
T
Todd1700 Offline
12 point
Todd1700  Offline
12 point
T
Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 5,941
Pine Hill, Al
I have no idea what will happen with truck prices in the future but they sure are insane right now. Twenty five years ago I bought a nice house and 10 acres of land for 68 thousand dollars. Now that's what a 4 wheel drive truck costs.


The best index to a person’s character is (a) how he treats people who can’t do him any good, and (b) how he treats people who can’t fight back.
- Abigail van Buren
Re: New trucks sale prices in the future [Re: gbee] #3430943
06/25/21 05:56 PM
06/25/21 05:56 PM
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,957
West Alabama
Ant67 Offline
10 point
Ant67  Offline
10 point
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,957
West Alabama
I would hate to be a new car salesman right now. Most of those guys make a good living but it’s all commission

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