Good information Michael…….A couple of things I would want to know a little more detail about with that……What are the egg production rates for the first time nesters that arent disturbed versus ones that have to renest?? Wouldn’t the same concept hold true here that it does with fawn drop in that the most successful situation is one with the most narrow time frame for births??.....Meaning that the more strung out it becomes the more the overall success rate goes down??

Another thing I’d make sure folks keep in mind here is that when looking at the data it would appear that we are talking about likely causing impacts of 10-30% which doesn’t really appear to be a chitload until it puts you over the “too much” threshold and causes a deficit and gradual decline to start occurring.

I’m not sure exactly how the late fire is causing issues but I think if you will look at the density data and the areas that are having the most issues with turkey fluctuations and declines you’ll see that there is a strong correlation between those counties and the ones that burn the most. Also, having worked in chicken houses growing up I’ve seen that birds can be real finicky when it comes to egg production and the things that can throw it off……They like homeostasis......I dont think the disruption to the process has to be as severe as just destroying nests in order to have a 10-30% impact on production or success rates. This is the very reason chickens are grown in houses where all the variables can be tightly controlled for max egg production.