Originally Posted by Semo
The biggest problem is using surrogate data (harvest) to predict populations. It simply may or may not be the case. Maybe longitudinally you could use it to support change in management (like 10 or 20 year trends), but otherwise it is just a snapshot of harvest and not necessarily population.


I agree…….unless it’s a situation where we are harvesting ALL or the majority of the mature gobblers being produced across the board. Then you’re looking at an apples to apples comparison of output to population. Such and such plantation may be 5,000 acres but I doubt it has dozens of mature gobblers running around that someone doesn’t show up to kill by the end of the season. Are there a bunch of places in Alabama where skads of mature gobblers are just dying of old age? Probably not……Yes, there is likely SOME variation but I bet its small.....I think that density map is probably a pretty accurate representation of the amount of gobblers being produced across the board.


Originally Posted by Semo
I have to get back to work. But that isn't a good experimental design. One could argue your sample size is 2. Pretty tough to get significant results that way.


True......

Last edited by CNC; 03/11/22 06:49 PM.

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