All this crying wolf is going to be real bad when the next Katrina does actually hit. It will be bad flooding along the big bend coast and Tampa is low lying to begin with…but don’t call it the storm of the century.

I’m just north of Orlando, and most gas stations are already out of gas, and propane refills. No bottled water anywhere. Luckily I have beer and bourbon.

Katrina was exacerbated because of all the boys crying wolf.

Just talked with my buddy in Tampa. Him and his family are gonna just hunker down.

Insurance rates are already going up here in Florida. After this they are going to skyrocket and I would bet several companies will stop writing policies here. As of now, we are under a tropical storm watch on the Treasure Coast.

[quote=Nightwatchman….My counterpart there in Tampa is a seasoned Floridian who has rode out many hurricanes in her day and she said she is taking this very seriously and heading inland first thing in the morning. It's nothing to play with[/quote]

Not to take anything from your coworker but if her experience is in the Tampa area, it isn’t very much. Hopeing for the best for all those in the path of this potentially bad storm.

If one person looses power, the dems will blame DeSantis for not handling things.

anyone got the new projections? Missed the news this morning.

Watch what monies the politicians spend while the media is drawing attention to this storm of the century.

It’s already a bad situation with rates increasing and carriers going out of business. Very few choices for homeowners insurance out there. A lot of carriers will likely leave the state unless they have significant other business in other lines. Basically, you’re going to be left with Citizens and maybe a few other carriers. I think the count is up to 5 or 6 carriers already this year that are out of business. It’s only going to get worse after this. Desantis needs to be on top of this issue so flip flop Charlie doesn’t get elected and make things worse.

listening to Mike's Weather Page; predicting 30-40" of rain inland

Not a chance. 12"- 20" maybe. 30-40" is a whole different animal. To produce in excess of 20", the storm has to stall completely and sit there dumping rain for 3-5 full days like Harvey did in 2017. Once this one clears the cost, it is projected to move on north fairly quickly. It'll be a rain event for sure, but 40" in the 24 hrs it's impacting the peninsula will be a record if it occurs. I disagree with the global warming BS statement in the excerpt below but to provide some perspective, these are the highest storm related rainfall events in the past 70 yrs:

" the three highest-volume rainfall events in the U.S. in the last 70 years have occurred since 2016: Hurricane Harvey in Texas/Louisiana in 2017, Hurricane Florence in North Carolina in 2018, and a March 2016 storm in Louisiana. It is highly unusual to get three such extreme events in one three-year period, and the odds of this occuring were increased by global warming, which boosts the amount of water vapor in the air and increases the frequency and intensity of heavy precipitation events.

Dr. Kunkel’s ratings were based on four-day rainfall totals over an area of 14,000 square miles (an area 40% larger than the state of Maryland). Harvey delivered an average of 25.6 inches of rain over an area of 14,000 square miles, while Florence was a somewhat distant second place, with an average of 17.5 inches of rain over a like-sized area."

Current rainfall projection for Tampa between today and this Saturday is 12-14" and Tampa currently has the highest rainfall projection for anywhere in the US related to IAN as of NOAA's updated projections 2 hrs ago.

I believe Hurricane Danny had over 30" of rain in places.

Lot of models now showing it tracking more to the south

Wettest tropical cyclones and their remnants on the United States Mainland
Highest-known totals
Precipitation Storm Location Ref.
Rank mm in
1 1538.7 60.58 Harvey 2017 Nederland, Texas [1]
2 1219 48.00 Amelia 1978 Medina, Texas [1]
3 1148 45.20 Easy 1950 Yankeetown, Florida [1]
4 1143 45.00 Claudette 1979 Alvin, Texas [1]
5 1096 43.31 Imelda 2019 Jefferson County, Texas [4]
6 1033 40.68 Allison 2001 Northwest Jefferson County, Texas [1]
7 977 38.46 Georges 1998 Munson, Florida [1]
8 932.4 36.71 Danny 1997 Dauphin Island Sea Lab, Alabama [1]
9 912.6 35.93 Florence 2018 Elizabethtown, North Carolina [6]
10 756 29.76 Unnamed 1960 Port Lavaca #2, Texas

Some areas of escambia county fl were very close to 30" back in 2020 (hurricane sally).. despite what google says, 30" is very realistic from a slow mover

30" can absolutely happen in one small specific place or area and often does. When you are talking about predicting rainfall for a hurricane, it's typically done over a much larger area. "Predicting 30-40" of rain inland" implies that's what's expected over a large area, and that's simply not going to happen.

Has anyone heard the likelihood of Sharknados ?

One report showed a little over 36" on Dauphin Island while another showed right at 38" at the DI Sea Lab

not "implying "anything; just re-stated that it was reported the possibility was there if it stalls. Hope not