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Re: Potential Hurricane next week
[Re: Dkhargroves]
#3753471
09/26/22 08:51 AM
09/26/22 08:51 AM
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Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 11,706
abolt300
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 11,706
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It seems they usually keep moving the predicted landfall area westward and then back close to its original path. Not alway but hats kinda what I recall thru the years Because the dang GFS and euro models can never seem to agree I dont even pay attention to what the GFS says anymore. In the last 4-5 years the GFS (American model) has become increasingly more and more inaccurate. The EURO model has been at least twice as accurate as the GFS over the last 10 yrs. Euro has predicted exactly what IAN is now doing and now projected to do, since it first started as a wave over a week ago now. What the heck has happened to American excellence? GFS projection from Friday/Saturday is going to miss landfall by 500 + miles. Euro is going to hit it spot on within about 50-75.
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Re: Potential Hurricane next week
[Re: Super Dave]
#3753477
09/26/22 09:04 AM
09/26/22 09:04 AM
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Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 11,706
abolt300
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 11,706
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She's starting to wrap up
"He". Ian...he. Might not identify as a HE. Very true. Now days......you never know.
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Re: Potential Hurricane next week
[Re: Squeaky]
#3753524
09/26/22 10:25 AM
09/26/22 10:25 AM
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Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 4,544 Lower Alabama
Andalusia
10 point
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10 point
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 4,544
Lower Alabama
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Still a ways out, we shall see.
"It is the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it"
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Re: Potential Hurricane next week
[Re: abolt300]
#3753533
09/26/22 10:39 AM
09/26/22 10:39 AM
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Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 9,792 B'ham
Goatkiller
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 9,792
B'ham
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It seems they usually keep moving the predicted landfall area westward and then back close to its original path. Not alway but hats kinda what I recall thru the years Because the dang GFS and euro models can never seem to agree I dont even pay attention to what the GFS says anymore. In the last 4-5 years the GFS (American model) has become increasingly more and more inaccurate. The EURO model has been at least twice as accurate as the GFS over the last 10 yrs. Euro has predicted exactly what IAN is now doing and now projected to do, since it first started as a wave over a week ago now. What the heck has happened to American excellence? GFS projection from Friday/Saturday is going to miss landfall by 500 + miles. Euro is going to hit it spot on within about 50-75. I am no weather expert I just know that I watch it constantly and they miss big and regularly. And this has been really since Obama took office. I'm not blaming it on him but around those years is probably when they started relying on more computer models and apparently our models aren't that good. I don't know what happened but they don't know with any certainty what is going to happen tomorrow the night before... apparently. Use to be a couple days in advance they were pretty accurate.
No government employees were harmed in the making of this mess.
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Re: Potential Hurricane next week
[Re: Squeaky]
#3753588
09/26/22 12:36 PM
09/26/22 12:36 PM
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Joined: Jun 2016
Posts: 1,824 lauderdale co
brushwhacker
8 point
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8 point
Joined: Jun 2016
Posts: 1,824
lauderdale co
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Tampa could be next Katrina. Be careful an stay safe . If was me I would leave but I have no experience with hurricanes.
Brushwacker
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Re: Potential Hurricane next week
[Re: lefthorn]
#3753715
09/26/22 04:41 PM
09/26/22 04:41 PM
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Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 4,986 LASW
turkey247
12 point
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12 point
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 4,986
LASW
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Calling this the storm of the century. Talk about massive overreaction and clickbait, wow.
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Re: Potential Hurricane next week
[Re: lefthorn]
#3753717
09/26/22 04:45 PM
09/26/22 04:45 PM
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Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 2,266 Dauphin Island, Alabama
Simpleman
8 point
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8 point
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 2,266
Dauphin Island, Alabama
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Calling this the storm of the century. If it’s gonna be worse than Katrina, roll out while you have time.
Katrina was a nightmare for me, but luckily we left. My wife and I call it the best worst thing to happen to us. So many blessings from God that can only be explained because it was a God thing I rode Katrina out in Grand Bay, AL. She was a bad girl. I knew things were really bad when I saw locked and loaded Mexican Marines(from the country Mexico. Not Mexican US Marines) pulling security in front of the Pascagoula refinery. If Ian is going to be worse than that, we need to start a prayer chain now.
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Re: Potential Hurricane next week
[Re: Squeaky]
#3753720
09/26/22 04:52 PM
09/26/22 04:52 PM
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Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 13,162 Earth
TDog93
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 13,162
Earth
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^^^^ Yea - I was trying to figure how cat 2 was going to make storm of century - thought something must hav changed drastically
Hunt the wind - leave it better than you found it - love your neighbor as you love your self We need prayer for our country now more than ever
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Re: Potential Hurricane next week
[Re: TDog93]
#3753726
09/26/22 04:59 PM
09/26/22 04:59 PM
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Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 55,110 Gee's Bend/At The Hog Pen
James
Freak of Nature
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Freak of Nature
Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 55,110
Gee's Bend/At The Hog Pen
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^^^^ Yea - I was trying to figure how cat 2 was going to make storm of century - thought something must hav changed drastically Yep. Don't get me wrong, you get on the wrong side of a Tropical storm and you'll deal with the Threat of Tornadoes all night and day long, but they're scaring folks which isn't hard to do now....
Do not regret growing older, it's a privilege denied to many!
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Re: Potential Hurricane next week
[Re: Squeaky]
#3753728
09/26/22 05:02 PM
09/26/22 05:02 PM
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Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,042 Luverne, AL
Skinny
GUVNER
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GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,042
Luverne, AL
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The storm surge along the coast is going to be bad, but this storm aint going to be anywhere close to Katrina.
"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people. "The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me "You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
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Re: Potential Hurricane next week
[Re: James]
#3753730
09/26/22 05:03 PM
09/26/22 05:03 PM
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Joined: Feb 2015
Posts: 1,950 Opelika
olemossy
8 point
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8 point
Joined: Feb 2015
Posts: 1,950
Opelika
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^^^^ Yea - I was trying to figure how cat 2 was going to make storm of century - thought something must hav changed drastically Yep. Don't get me wrong, you get on the wrong side of a Tropical storm and you'll deal with the Threat of Tornadoes all night and day long, but they're scaring folks which isn't hard to do now.... Nope it isn't and the media feeds off of it.
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Re: Potential Hurricane next week
[Re: Skinny]
#3753731
09/26/22 05:08 PM
09/26/22 05:08 PM
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Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 55,110 Gee's Bend/At The Hog Pen
James
Freak of Nature
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Freak of Nature
Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 55,110
Gee's Bend/At The Hog Pen
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The storm surge along the coast is going to be bad, but this storm aint going to be anywhere close to Katrina. Definitely be damage from the Storm surge. But i was seeing lots of videos of stores (already depleted of merchandise) being totally wiped out
Do not regret growing older, it's a privilege denied to many!
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Re: Potential Hurricane next week
[Re: cartervj]
#3753759
09/26/22 05:39 PM
09/26/22 05:39 PM
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Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 55,110 Gee's Bend/At The Hog Pen
James
Freak of Nature
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Freak of Nature
Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 55,110
Gee's Bend/At The Hog Pen
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I chit you not, the Gas Station at Theodore dawes and old Pascagoula done that during Katrina. He just had a new metal roof installed 😃 It survived only to be demolished several years later
Do not regret growing older, it's a privilege denied to many!
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Re: Potential Hurricane next week
[Re: Squeaky]
#3753768
09/26/22 05:54 PM
09/26/22 05:54 PM
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Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 11,416 Prattville
Dkhargroves
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 11,416
Prattville
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Tampa is phucked on this one fellas. Going to be catastrophic damage. Tampa is not prepared for 10+ feet of storm surge
There is 2 different high fence. 1 small and one big! Mine was free range in the big pen and was not a breeder buck. Why does it have to be twisted around??
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