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Upcoming Wather…. #4200237
09/20/24 09:44 PM
09/20/24 09:44 PM
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 286
Fairhope
J
joeml18 Offline OP
4 point
joeml18  Offline OP
4 point
J
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 286
Fairhope
Anyone got an eye on that disturbance in the western Caribbean? There’s a couple folks on here that know their stuff. Just ran across it today and didn’t see anyone discussing yet.

Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: joeml18] #4200243
09/20/24 09:56 PM
09/20/24 09:56 PM
Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 9,449
Right behind you
Mbrock Offline
Fancy
Mbrock  Offline
Fancy
Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 9,449
Right behind you
Too early to really discuss other than it’s a thing out there. Should have a much better indication of likely intensity and track by Sunday evening. I hope it brings more rain to places that didn’t get it from Francine. There’s still parts of central and NE AL dry dry dry.

Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: joeml18] #4200245
09/20/24 09:58 PM
09/20/24 09:58 PM
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 3,962
Huntsville, Al
Bronco 74 Offline
10 point
Bronco 74  Offline
10 point
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 3,962
Huntsville, Al
I ran across some info yesterday. Still a week out. I pay more attention now than before. I was 350 mile from the coast. Now I’m 10 miles.


"We have an opponent in this state that we work every day, 365 days a year, to dominate."
Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: joeml18] #4200255
09/20/24 10:27 PM
09/20/24 10:27 PM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 13,230
Montgomery / Luverne
crenshawco Offline
Booner
crenshawco  Offline
Booner
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 13,230
Montgomery / Luverne
It's still pretty far out to be getting too worried, but some models aren't looking good. The weather nerds are starting to get all giddy

https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=124312&start=700

Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: joeml18] #4200258
09/20/24 10:37 PM
09/20/24 10:37 PM
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,323
Luverne, AL
Skinny Offline
GUVNER
Skinny  Offline
GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,323
Luverne, AL
No position fix at all though. So for now, its just a blob. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_7d0.png


"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: joeml18] #4200261
09/20/24 10:44 PM
09/20/24 10:44 PM
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 309
Southeast AL
C
claybird Offline
4 point
claybird  Offline
4 point
C
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 309
Southeast AL
Navarre, Destin and Santa Rosa Beach better buckle down

Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: joeml18] #4200280
09/20/24 11:20 PM
09/20/24 11:20 PM
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 8,318
Tenn
W
woodduck Offline
14 point
woodduck  Offline
14 point
W
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 8,318
Tenn
Been watching mikes weather channel some today. The guy is pretty good. Sounds like more confidence by the day and mobile seems to be dead center for now. All depends on that cold front where it ends up

Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: joeml18] #4200339
09/21/24 07:36 AM
09/21/24 07:36 AM
Joined: Jun 2017
Posts: 758
N Bama
H
HappyHunter Offline
4 point
HappyHunter  Offline
4 point
H
Joined: Jun 2017
Posts: 758
N Bama
I’m heading to Dauphin Island Wednesday so i hope it’s all hype and no show.

Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: HappyHunter] #4200348
09/21/24 08:07 AM
09/21/24 08:07 AM
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4,623
Alabama
J
jmj120 Offline
10 point
jmj120  Offline
10 point
J
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4,623
Alabama
Originally Posted by HappyHunter
I’m heading to Dauphin Island Wednesday so i hope it’s all hype and no show.

You fishing?

Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: joeml18] #4200363
09/21/24 08:48 AM
09/21/24 08:48 AM
Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 2,504
kyles
K
kyles Offline
10 point
kyles  Offline
10 point
K
Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 2,504
kyles
My daughter is headed back to her home in Mobile today. We been watching it no definite track yet

Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: Mbrock] #4200365
09/21/24 08:50 AM
09/21/24 08:50 AM
Joined: Dec 2014
Posts: 3,772
Pace, FL
daylate Offline
10 point
daylate  Offline
10 point
Joined: Dec 2014
Posts: 3,772
Pace, FL
Originally Posted by Mbrock
I hope it brings more rain to places that didn’t get it from Francine. There’s still parts of central and NE AL dry dry dry.

Unfortunately, that would mean widespread destruction and no power for us down here on the coast. I personally hope N AL gets rain some other way.

Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: woodduck] #4200366
09/21/24 08:51 AM
09/21/24 08:51 AM
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,323
Luverne, AL
Skinny Offline
GUVNER
Skinny  Offline
GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,323
Luverne, AL
Originally Posted by woodduck
Been watching mikes weather channel some today. The guy is pretty good. Sounds like more confidence by the day and mobile seems to be dead center for now. All depends on that cold front where it ends up


That guy is a far superior Wather man than most any guy you will see on the TV. He actually tells you useful information.


"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: joeml18] #4200368
09/21/24 08:53 AM
09/21/24 08:53 AM
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,323
Luverne, AL
Skinny Offline
GUVNER
Skinny  Offline
GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,323
Luverne, AL
As far as dangerous weather is concerned, right now this blob aint going to be much of a concern. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/96L_intensity_latest.png
Still could make some spinners and local big storms though.


"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people.
"The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: joeml18] #4200459
09/21/24 01:09 PM
09/21/24 01:09 PM
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 2,243
Mobile, AL
M
Mdees Offline
8 point
Mdees  Offline
8 point
M
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 2,243
Mobile, AL
I’ll take a little more rain here in Mobile but I’m supposed to be on that Prairie Glades SOA dove hunt next Saturday.

Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: joeml18] #4200473
09/21/24 02:15 PM
09/21/24 02:15 PM
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 10,006
Mobile, AL
A
alhawk Offline
Booner
alhawk  Offline
Booner
A
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 10,006
Mobile, AL
The GFS models have been all over the place with this one for the last three days. Texas one day, Mobile, panhandle of FL, back to Mobile/MS line and now not much going to Central FL.....

Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: joeml18] #4200474
09/21/24 02:17 PM
09/21/24 02:17 PM
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 39,582
Marshall County
FurFlyin Offline
Freak of Nature
FurFlyin  Offline
Freak of Nature
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 39,582
Marshall County
I hate to say things like "I hope it hits us" because I know that if it does, that means that many down south will suffer. I just pray we get rain, from something, whether from the stormm, or the front that's predicted to pull it ashore.

We have two large Water Oaks in our front yard that provide mid day and spotty afternoon shade. They started shedding leaves last night. My front yard is covered with leaves. I have not seen this happen in the 17 years we've lived here. The leaves that are coming off are gray. Looking up into the trees, there's thousands of gray leaves on those two trees. I sure hope that they aren't going to die. If they do, I won't have one bit of shade and our power bill will definitely climb. We have Oak Wilt here. I'm afraid that the stress may help it hit those two trees.

I spot mowed my yard again today. I'm a yard guy. My yard normally looks like a golf course. I have not mowed my front yard in over 2 months. The Tifsport bermuda in the front hasn't even sent up seed heads. My back yard is pure clay, a rarity on Sand Mountain. The grass back there is still greenish. I'm mowing it because of some small spot of crab grass. Just keeping the seed from maturing. I'm clipping about 1/2" off the bermuda and mowing about every 10 days. I've tried irrigating and from appearances, it's not helping. We got 1/2" of rain, 3 Saturdays ago. Just a random, pop up shower. It didn't green up any grass that I can see from my house. The pastures here are done for the year.

There was a snippet on channel 31 news this past week. I wish I had posted it here, because I know some of you guys think that I "cry wolf" about it getting dry here. It seems like if there's a drought in AL, that it hits Marshall county, every time. The young lady that's a meteorologist explained why it was often dry on Sand Mountain. We know it's because of the mountain, but she explained the science behind it. I can't remember the term she used for the weather anomaly.


If my people, who are called by my name, will humble themselves and pray and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, then will I hear from heaven and will forgive their sin and will heal their land. 2 Chronicles 7:14
Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: daylate] #4201272
09/22/24 09:56 PM
09/22/24 09:56 PM
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 2,972
Prattville Al.
C
capehorn24 Offline
10 point
capehorn24  Offline
10 point
C
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 2,972
Prattville Al.
Originally Posted by daylate
Originally Posted by Mbrock
I hope it brings more rain to places that didn’t get it from Francine. There’s still parts of central and NE AL dry dry dry.

Unfortunately, that would mean widespread destruction and no power for us down here on the coast. I personally hope N AL gets rain some other way.


Unfortunately, that’s part of the game when you chose to live near the GOM/Atlantic. FYI, I have and still own a condo in OB so I understand the sentiment.

Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: capehorn24] #4201278
09/22/24 10:10 PM
09/22/24 10:10 PM
Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 9,449
Right behind you
Mbrock Offline
Fancy
Mbrock  Offline
Fancy
Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 9,449
Right behind you
Originally Posted by capehorn24
Originally Posted by daylate
Originally Posted by Mbrock
I hope it brings more rain to places that didn’t get it from Francine. There’s still parts of central and NE AL dry dry dry.

Unfortunately, that would mean widespread destruction and no power for us down here on the coast. I personally hope N AL gets rain some other way.


Unfortunately, that’s part of the game when you chose to live near the GOM/Atlantic. FYI, I have and still own a condo in OB so I understand the sentiment.

Yeah I certainly don’t wish any harm to life or property on the coast, but it’s often times these tropical systems that bring the only rain this way for two months in late summer and fall. If we don’t get remnant tropical storms we often go without. I lived 18 miles from the coast for a few years and I left. I wouldn’t have anything down there with the risks involved in these storms every summer. It would drive me crazy.

Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: joeml18] #4201296
09/23/24 05:20 AM
09/23/24 05:20 AM
Joined: Nov 2018
Posts: 2,013
Orange Beach, AL
J
JohnG Online content
8 point
JohnG  Online Content
8 point
J
Joined: Nov 2018
Posts: 2,013
Orange Beach, AL
Just part of it Matt. Our family lost a home during Fredrick, three condos due to Ivan and had two feet of water in a ground level house courtesy of Sally. I can’t remember all the property damages and how many piers we rebuilt. It’s just a way it’s been for my family that moved onto the island in the late fifties. About all I can say is I’ll take a hurricane with several days notice over a tornado without any.

Re: Upcoming Wather…. [Re: joeml18] #4201299
09/23/24 05:29 AM
09/23/24 05:29 AM
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 21,927
colbert county
cartervj Offline
Freak of Nature
cartervj  Offline
Freak of Nature
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 21,927
colbert county
I knew a guy that threatened to whoop Jim Cantore if he didn’t get out of his front yard during Katrina. Greg didn’t have a care and half the streets in Biloxi are named after his kinfolk.


“Socialism only works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and hell where they already have it.” ― Ronald Reagan
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