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Glock 27
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Season Predictions
#4214154
10/17/24 10:53 AM
10/17/24 10:53 AM
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Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 23,520 Awbarn, AL
CNC
OP
Dances With Weeds
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OP
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 23,520
Awbarn, AL
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I’m predicting that this is gonna be a down year overall for most hunters around the state……Buck harvest will be down 15-20% or more in many counties........
We dont rent pigs
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214159
10/17/24 11:06 AM
10/17/24 11:06 AM
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Joined: Sep 2016
Posts: 8,610 Alabama
Shaneomac2
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Sep 2016
Posts: 8,610
Alabama
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i predict i will still have buck fever every time i see a deer with horns..
Georgia Football..Acts like Bama but has a trophy case like South Carolina.
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: Stoney]
#4214173
10/17/24 11:42 AM
10/17/24 11:42 AM
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Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 23,520 Awbarn, AL
CNC
OP
Dances With Weeds
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OP
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 23,520
Awbarn, AL
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CNC - What are you basing your opinion on? Harvest trends over the last 4-5 years….. along with a hunch……Most of north Alabama was down 15-30% last year……I think South Alabama is about to follow suit and then we’ll find ourselves at a new norm moving forward for annual harvest totals…..North Alabama may see a slight uptick from last season but it wont recover back to what it once was
We dont rent pigs
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: Mbrock]
#4214221
10/17/24 01:23 PM
10/17/24 01:23 PM
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Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 36,265 Boxes Cove
2Dogs
Freak of Nature
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Freak of Nature
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 36,265
Boxes Cove
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I disagree. Acorns are spotty at best. Food plots may not do well in large areas of the state. They’re predicting a dry fall and early winter. Corn will be king and people are going to kill the piss out of deer over election frustrations. Did Kamala promise a buck in every crosshair?
"Why do you ask"?
Always vote the slowest path to socialism.
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: Mbrock]
#4214224
10/17/24 01:27 PM
10/17/24 01:27 PM
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Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 23,520 Awbarn, AL
CNC
OP
Dances With Weeds
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OP
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 23,520
Awbarn, AL
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I disagree. Acorns are spotty at best. Food plots may not do well in large areas of the state. They’re predicting a dry fall and early winter. Corn will be king and people are going to kill the piss out of deer over election frustrations. You can only take a population and “kill the piss out of ‘em” above the norm for so long before its catches up to you and there’s no longer a piss load to kill…..We’ve already been killing the piss out of ‘em for a few years now…..
We dont rent pigs
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214227
10/17/24 01:35 PM
10/17/24 01:35 PM
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Joined: Dec 2018
Posts: 2,500 Dale County, AL
DGAMBLER
10 point
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10 point
Joined: Dec 2018
Posts: 2,500
Dale County, AL
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I may not be the most normal person, but I just can't understand someone who would take their emotions out on a deer herd because of an election.
To GOD be All the glory!!!
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214231
10/17/24 01:39 PM
10/17/24 01:39 PM
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Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 23,520 Awbarn, AL
CNC
OP
Dances With Weeds
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OP
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 23,520
Awbarn, AL
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I think 4+ year old bucks are becoming more scarce in many areas and part of this harvest decrease will come through a portion of the hunters no longer having many “shooters” to target……That big increase in buck harvest we’ve seen over the last few seasons has likely came from more of the 2-3 year old age class being taken out……
We dont rent pigs
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214239
10/17/24 01:52 PM
10/17/24 01:52 PM
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Joined: Mar 2015
Posts: 5,001 FL
mw2015
12 point
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12 point
Joined: Mar 2015
Posts: 5,001
FL
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I predict that I will fire my old processor and take all my deer, except for dog deer that I process myself, to my new processor who makes delicious bologna and summer sausage and did not almost kill me like my old processor. .
Michael Warren CPIA Your trusted insurance advisor for business and health insurance. ALDEER SPONSOR BUSINESS INSURANCE AND LIFE/HEALTH INSURANCE IN FL AND AL http://mikewarreninsure.commikewarreninsuranceagency@gmail.com Agency phone (954) 884-8253
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214263
10/17/24 03:38 PM
10/17/24 03:38 PM
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Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,767 Clanton
Turkey_neck
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,767
Clanton
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Based on my cameras and others I’ve talked with I completely agree with Cnc. A few have some shooters but the majority don’t. My honey hole I’ve had pics of 3 bucks where it was 10-15 racked bucks 2 years ago.
Would walk over a naked woman to get to a gobblin turkey!
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: 2Dogs]
#4214271
10/17/24 03:52 PM
10/17/24 03:52 PM
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Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 11,282
abolt300
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 11,282
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I disagree. Acorns are spotty at best. Food plots may not do well in large areas of the state. They’re predicting a dry fall and early winter. Corn will be king and people are going to kill the piss out of deer over election frustrations. Did Kamala promise a buck in every crosshair? She promised 2 bucks in every crosshair, extended seasons, unlimited buck tags, free bullets, free camo, free treestands, and also reparations for the poor AL hunters that dont have any big bucks to kill like they do in midwest.. She's working hard to buy those Aldeer votes.
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214273
10/17/24 03:59 PM
10/17/24 03:59 PM
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Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 11,282
abolt300
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 11,282
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I disagree. Acorns are spotty at best. Food plots may not do well in large areas of the state. They’re predicting a dry fall and early winter. Corn will be king and people are going to kill the piss out of deer over election frustrations. You can only take a population and “kill the piss out of ‘em” above the norm for so long before its catches up to you and there’s no longer a piss load to kill…..We’ve already been killing the piss out of ‘em for a few years now….. We've been killing the piss out of bucks since they opened deer seasons back up again after the original re-stocking. I dont think that you'll see a big decrease from the guys shooting 4+ year old bucks because there simply are not that many in Alabama hunters exclusively targeting older bucks. It's all the 1-3's being taken out of the herd by the semi-trailer loads, every season, that are making up the overwhelming majority of the buck harvest. Maybe Matt can provide the data but I'd bet that somewhere around 85% of alabama's annual buck harvest is made up of deer younger than 4, with the majority being 2-3 yr old basket racked 4, 6, and 8 points.
Last edited by abolt300; 10/17/24 04:04 PM.
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214291
10/17/24 04:33 PM
10/17/24 04:33 PM
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Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 8,730 Right behind you
Mbrock
Fancy
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Fancy
Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 8,730
Right behind you
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I disagree. Acorns are spotty at best. Food plots may not do well in large areas of the state. They’re predicting a dry fall and early winter. Corn will be king and people are going to kill the piss out of deer over election frustrations. You can only take a population and “kill the piss out of ‘em” above the norm for so long before its catches up to you and there’s no longer a piss load to kill…..We’ve already been killing the piss out of ‘em for a few years now….. The areas of the state I work in have not seen a decrease in deer, despite killing the piss out of em. It’s actually stable to increasing most everywhere in west and north AL that I’ve been. Deer populations are not the issue. Age structure is however. I think we both agree on that.
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214321
10/17/24 06:39 PM
10/17/24 06:39 PM
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Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,828 Tuscaloosa Co.
N2TRKYS
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,828
Tuscaloosa Co.
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Gonna be tough to pin down a good buck with the amount of acorns out there.
83% of all statistics are made up.
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214332
10/17/24 07:03 PM
10/17/24 07:03 PM
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Joined: Apr 2016
Posts: 1,767 Elmore County
treemydog
8 point
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8 point
Joined: Apr 2016
Posts: 1,767
Elmore County
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I didn't know anybody killed bucks anymore. I thought everyone waited to let them grow for just one more year.
You gonna pull them pistols, or whistle Dixie?
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214362
10/17/24 07:40 PM
10/17/24 07:40 PM
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Joined: Jul 2003
Posts: 13,388 In a Van, down by the River
quailman
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Jul 2003
Posts: 13,388
In a Van, down by the River
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I'm gone bust the $hit out of them. And fill my freezer like every year.
Life is a journey. Make sure and bring plenty of Beer.
My luck has been so bad lately, it could be raining pussies and I'd catch one with a dick broke off in it.
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214403
10/17/24 08:27 PM
10/17/24 08:27 PM
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Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 19,164 North AL
AU338MAG
Old Mossy Horns
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Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 19,164
North AL
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With the drought we've experienced in North Alabama, i think opportunities will be plentiful due to food sources being more limited, causing deer to travel further for food. JMHO.
Quality of bucks could be down a little though. I hunted SE Kansas last year for the first time and they've been in a drought for 3-4 years. The outfitter told us the quality of bucks was way down and that's what we saw. I saw 3-4 yo bucks that wouldn't score more than typical Alabama bucks of the same age.
Last edited by AU338MAG; 10/17/24 08:28 PM.
Dying ain't much of a living boy...Josey Wales
Molon Labe
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: quailman]
#4214411
10/17/24 08:35 PM
10/17/24 08:35 PM
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Joined: Apr 2000
Posts: 17,106 Elmore County
Frankie
Old Mossy Horns
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Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Apr 2000
Posts: 17,106
Elmore County
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I'm gone bust the $hit out of them. And fill my freezer like every year. hell , i aint hunted in 5 years and my finger is itching really bad . even the ones in the yard aint safe this year . deer come slipping through by itself me setting on the porch , it gone .
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214429
10/17/24 09:20 PM
10/17/24 09:20 PM
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Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 12,082 Earth
TDog93
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 12,082
Earth
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I hav one really good deer for me on camera - likely a mounter 11 point and a few solid 10s and one other stud older 8 and a few older ugly bucks - all n clarke county - could b great season - if i killed 11 and stud 8 will be tremendous season for me
Hunt the wind - leave it better than you found it - love your neighbor as you love your self We need prayer for our country now more than ever
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214432
10/17/24 09:27 PM
10/17/24 09:27 PM
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Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 11,868 Kennedy, al
globe
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 11,868
Kennedy, al
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There is BEAUCOUP deer this year…….. A lot, lot lot, bunches of um. 😜😄 Everybody I’ve talked to has a good deer to hunt.
Everything woke turns to shucks
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214459
10/17/24 10:24 PM
10/17/24 10:24 PM
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Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 12,082 Earth
TDog93
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 12,082
Earth
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I hate we not gonna hav lush fields by opening weekend - i doubt we hav rain next 3 weeks
One of my fav things about deer season is seeing fields grow before season - mine are all crap and no rain in sight - may not hav any by early November
Hunt the wind - leave it better than you found it - love your neighbor as you love your self We need prayer for our country now more than ever
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: hawndog]
#4214477
10/18/24 05:06 AM
10/18/24 05:06 AM
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Joined: Dec 2022
Posts: 619 Behind some dogs
000buck
4 point
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4 point
Joined: Dec 2022
Posts: 619
Behind some dogs
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287 deer killed for 24-25 season before the season even opened, according to gamecheck. We are off to a good start. In came in October 1 in zone e.
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214540
10/18/24 08:09 AM
10/18/24 08:09 AM
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Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 9,354 USA
marshmud991
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 9,354
USA
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I predict we gonna have fun at the camp. We gonna eat good. We gonna drink good and occasionally kill a deer. Basically the same thing that happens every year.
It's hard to kiss the lips at night that chews your a$$ all day long.
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214563
10/18/24 09:24 AM
10/18/24 09:24 AM
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Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 9,619 B'ham
Goatkiller
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 9,619
B'ham
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I had a place we thought was "genetically challenged" and by just removing 2 hunters from a total of about 6 that killed "cull bucks" because they didn't have brow tines.... Each year they were no longer hunting with us the antlered bucks increased in number to the point that where we once had spikes, one horned deer and all kinds of messed up racks... NOW had some decent racked bucks. About 5 years goes by and the dynamics of the horn characteristics completely changed.
That's just from removing 2 dudes that killed 3-5 deer per season but all were basket racks. We invited them to hunt somewhere else. They really weren't doing a thing wrong by most hunting club's standards.
Great decision. However, I don't think the average person would believe this until they saw it with their own eyes. I didn't really think it was going to play out like that myself I just thought the genetics were all piss poor and there was nothing I could do about it.
WRONG. Apparently.
You have to accept that your trigger finger on young bucks is what influences your deer herd. It's not your food plots or your doe blasting that gets results.
Season Prediction = like every 97.945254% of the buck harvest will = 1-3 year olds
Last edited by Goatkiller; 10/18/24 09:26 AM.
No government employees were harmed in the making of this mess.
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214580
10/18/24 10:31 AM
10/18/24 10:31 AM
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Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 23,520 Awbarn, AL
CNC
OP
Dances With Weeds
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OP
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 23,520
Awbarn, AL
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Folks always wonder where all of their young bucks disappear to……The answer is that bucks are not going to stay stock piled on one property while everyone in the larger area around you “shoots the piss out of ‘em”…..They are going to spread out to fill the voids
……AND……They especially arent gonna stay stock piled on one property if the doe population on said property is scant…..You cant think that you can manage for a 1:1 or 1:2 buck to doe ratio on 1000 acres while everyone around you is shooting the piss out of bucks…..Bucks arent gonna fight to the death on that 1000 acres when there’s voids with no competition all around them…..Buck to doe ratios occur across big areas….If you have too many does like some folks want you to believe is the problem then you’re bucks wouldn’t be disappearing to other properties.
We dont rent pigs
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214586
10/18/24 11:01 AM
10/18/24 11:01 AM
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Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 23,520 Awbarn, AL
CNC
OP
Dances With Weeds
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OP
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 23,520
Awbarn, AL
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A lot of the reason the average hunter has the mentality they do is because they’ve been misinformed and hoodooed into shooting a bunch of does to keep the populations levels down……To each their own but I’m not buying into it…..You need at least 3-4 does for every buck if you want to hold them on your property and keep them from going elsewhere……
Last edited by CNC; 10/18/24 11:02 AM.
We dont rent pigs
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214597
10/18/24 11:22 AM
10/18/24 11:22 AM
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Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 11,282
abolt300
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 11,282
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A lot of the reason the average hunter has the mentality they do is because they’ve been misinformed and hoodooed into shooting a bunch of does to keep the populations levels down……To each their own but I’m not buying into it…..You need at least 3-4 does for every buck if you want to hold them on your property and keep them from going elsewhere…… If you've got less than several thousand acres, it doesnt matter how many does you have available for each buck that you have on your property, it's not going to keep them from going elsewhere from Dec -Feb in Alabama. The overwhelming majority of your bucks will wander on and off of your property regardless, and most especially in the rut. The best that you can hope for is that your property, on any given year, encompasses the core/area/home range for several mature bucks in your area, which means they will spend a decent percentage of their time on it. Bucks will travel during the rut. They'll walk until they hit the trail of a hot one. Might be a 1/2 a mile or it might be 5, 10, 15 miles. It is just what they do. We control a lot of land and we kill new bucks, that we have zero history or pictures of, each year. At the same time, we have bucks that we have 3-4 years worth of pics of, killed on neighboring properties 2-4 miles away every year.
Last edited by abolt300; 10/18/24 11:22 AM.
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: abolt300]
#4214705
10/18/24 04:33 PM
10/18/24 04:33 PM
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Joined: Aug 2003
Posts: 42,862 UR 6
top cat
Freak of Nature
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Freak of Nature
Joined: Aug 2003
Posts: 42,862
UR 6
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I disagree. Acorns are spotty at best. Food plots may not do well in large areas of the state. They’re predicting a dry fall and early winter. Corn will be king and people are going to kill the piss out of deer over election frustrations. Did Kamala promise a buck in every crosshair? She promised 2 bucks in every crosshair, extended seasons, unlimited buck tags, free bullets, free camo, free treestands, and also reparations for the poor AL hunters that dont have any big bucks to kill like they do in midwest.. She's working hard to buy those Aldeer votes. And government will cover all taxidermy fees
LUCK:::; When presistence, dedication, perspiration and preparation meet up with opportunity!!! - - - - - - - -A government big enough to give you everything you want, is big enough to take everything you have. Thomas Jeferson - - - - - - - -
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214833
10/18/24 11:49 PM
10/18/24 11:49 PM
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Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 12,082 Earth
TDog93
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 12,082
Earth
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Got more good deer on my property than i ever had. 3 tens - 11/12 point and 2 stud 8s and a few mature/old 8s.
Hunt the wind - leave it better than you found it - love your neighbor as you love your self We need prayer for our country now more than ever
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214928
10/19/24 09:07 AM
10/19/24 09:07 AM
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Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 11,868 Kennedy, al
globe
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 11,868
Kennedy, al
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I grew up hunting acorn flats, creek crossings, pinch points and walking clearcuts. I’d be better off if they outlawed corn again. My wife and kids wouldn’t But the deer population around here is booming
Last edited by globe; 10/19/24 09:16 AM.
Everything woke turns to shucks
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: Paint Rock 00]
#4214955
10/19/24 10:10 AM
10/19/24 10:10 AM
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Joined: Jul 2024
Posts: 48 Alabama
Lec
spike
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spike
Joined: Jul 2024
Posts: 48
Alabama
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More deer shot and not reported. It was tried from a few I know and got by without reporting. It will only get worse. Tooooooo many people hate rules/laws. Have you seen any benefits to the reporting other than not getting a ticket if you don't and giving people like CNC some worthless numbers to play around with?
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: CNC]
#4214965
10/19/24 10:29 AM
10/19/24 10:29 AM
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Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 10,033 North Jackson
ridgestalker
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 10,033
North Jackson
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Deer are going to be in valley and bottoms. Slim pickings on acorns and drought killed food plots. Corn will get a lot killed this year.
"The Heavens declare the glory of God;and the firmament sheweth his handiwork" Pslam 19:1
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: ridgestalker]
#4214990
10/19/24 12:32 PM
10/19/24 12:32 PM
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Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 9,204 Colbert County
Teacher One
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 9,204
Colbert County
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Deer are going to be in valley and bottoms. Slim pickings on acorns and drought killed food plots. Corn will get a lot killed this year. This!
I can't stand a thief.
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Re: Season Predictions
[Re: jallencrockett]
#4215060
10/19/24 02:28 PM
10/19/24 02:28 PM
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Joined: Jul 2003
Posts: 13,388 In a Van, down by the River
quailman
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Jul 2003
Posts: 13,388
In a Van, down by the River
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Hunting is not hunting any more with game cameras and baiting. It is just live grocery shoppng. If you are not killing a monster every year you suck or he aint there. Excuse me the correct verbiage is killing your pet. Well, I guess I don't know anything about deer hunting. And I guess, according to you, I Suck too. I'll just get back to eating my bowl of deer chilli.
Life is a journey. Make sure and bring plenty of Beer.
My luck has been so bad lately, it could be raining pussies and I'd catch one with a dick broke off in it.
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