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Season Predictions: The Final Tally #4283768
02/10/25 11:44 AM
02/10/25 11:44 AM
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 25,093
Awbarn, AL
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Awbarn, AL
There may be a few more stragglers get checked in but I don’t think anything is going to change too significantly……Here’s the final tally……Again, this is compared against the average of the previous 4 seasons so 100% represents the “average” line……Also the green * represents the highest harvest in the last 5 seasons and the red * represents the lowest harvest in the 5 seasons……

Bucks

[Linked Image]

Does

[Linked Image]


We don't rent pigs
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283774
02/10/25 11:54 AM
02/10/25 11:54 AM
Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 6,805
somewhere around 112.
S
slippinlipjr Offline
I make Calds fer a livin
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somewhere around 112.
All of District 5 just went to pot didn't it? The snow really screwed us up down here, then it got hot.


Ctrl+C, Ctrl+V, Ctrl+Z

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Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283794
02/10/25 12:31 PM
02/10/25 12:31 PM
Joined: Jun 2012
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Awbarn, AL
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Yeah that definitely didn’t help the southwest corner…….I don’t know if I’d completely chalk it up to that without looking more into it though…..Whatever is occurring in my area around Macon/Bullock/Montgomery/Russell wasn’t about the weather…….There’s a lot of counties seeing 5 year highs and 5 year lows……Some of the best areas, like where Matt hunts, are stable and not seeing any major change….. wink

Last edited by CNC; 02/10/25 12:31 PM.

We don't rent pigs
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283817
02/10/25 01:33 PM
02/10/25 01:33 PM
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Awbarn, AL
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Originally Posted by CNC
Whatever is occurring in my area around Macon/Bullock/Montgomery/Russell wasn’t about the weather…….


Let me rephrase that……It wasn’t completely a weather related down turn…..Weather definitely still plays a factor……In my area it made a bad situation worse…..


We don't rent pigs
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283824
02/10/25 01:47 PM
02/10/25 01:47 PM
Joined: Jun 2014
Posts: 4,785
Jasper Al
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eclipse829 Offline
10 point
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Jasper Al
I picked up a deer from my processor yesterday morning and he said they would finish at around 2600 deer today. That was up 400 over last year which was a record year. They stopped taking deer on at least 4 occasions for multiple days. He's located in Walker County


Killing my neighbors deer since 1982
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: eclipse829] #4283830
02/10/25 02:02 PM
02/10/25 02:02 PM
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Awbarn, AL
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Originally Posted by eclipse829
I picked up a deer from my processor yesterday morning and he said they would finish at around 2600 deer today. That was up 400 over last year which was a record year. They stopped taking deer on at least 4 occasions for multiple days. He's located in Walker County


If we’re looking at it and trying to be as fair and unbiased as possible and not just being a cheerleader for one which a way or another…….then the next thing we have to do is ask “why” is there record numbers of deer being reported in these counties to determine whether it’s a good thing or not for the long term.....Is the record harvest because the deer population is growing allowing for more deer to be taken??......or is it just because more deer are being taken out of the same population base…… If it’s the latter then its going to catch up with you next year or the year after kinda thing……I think that’s where we are at now in my area after the “record” harvests of the last couple of seasons……especially the big increases in doe killing……I think my area will continue to be down for another couple years because we still have to cycle through that big dip we likely had in fawn births…..In other words, this last years “age class” is already starting off slim before they ever even make it to 2, 3, 4…..etc…..I think its gonna take a minute to recover…..Maybe some folks will rethink the doe killing strategy and how we go about it moving forward….


We don't rent pigs
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283834
02/10/25 02:10 PM
02/10/25 02:10 PM
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Can't have it both ways. Either short numbers or high numbers are bad. Gotta pick one.

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: BPI] #4283839
02/10/25 02:20 PM
02/10/25 02:20 PM
Joined: Jun 2012
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Awbarn, AL
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Originally Posted by BPI
Can't have it both ways. Either short numbers or high numbers are bad. Gotta pick one.


That's one of the more retarded quotes anyone has come up with in a while......


We don't rent pigs
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283841
02/10/25 02:24 PM
02/10/25 02:24 PM
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BPI Online content
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Originally Posted by CNC
Originally Posted by BPI
Can't have it both ways. Either short numbers or high numbers are bad. Gotta pick one.


That's one of the more retarded quotes anyone has come up with in a while......


Let's see.. Worse than Milroe will win a Heisman and a Natty ?
rofl

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283842
02/10/25 02:26 PM
02/10/25 02:26 PM
Joined: Aug 2013
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Point is that the numbers you were using to make your argument were short numbers , if I recall correctly. Well, the numbers aren't so short. What gives ? Now is the argument that the numbers are too high ? Just trying to wrap my head around it .

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283847
02/10/25 02:30 PM
02/10/25 02:30 PM
Joined: Dec 2018
Posts: 2,763
Dale County, AL
DGAMBLER Offline
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BPI, he's using a 5 year average


To GOD be All the glory!!!
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: BPI] #4283850
02/10/25 02:36 PM
02/10/25 02:36 PM
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 25,093
Awbarn, AL
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Originally Posted by BPI
Point is that the numbers you were using to make your argument were short numbers , if I recall correctly. Well, the numbers aren't so short. What gives ? Now is the argument that the numbers are too high ? Just trying to wrap my head around it .


I'm not for sure what you're asking


We don't rent pigs
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283860
02/10/25 02:59 PM
02/10/25 02:59 PM
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 3,534
Central Al
twaldrop4 Offline
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I think north and south Alabama are slowing switching deer populations. I think this has been happening for the last 10 years. In the late the 90s northwest Alabama didn’t have as many deer but some true giants came from there (they still do) but the population of deer has increased. In the late 90s there was a lot more crops in south Alabama and the deer population reflected that. I’ve hunted from Camden to Hamilton the last 10 years and it seems the further north you go the better. Which is completely opposite of the past couple decades.

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283861
02/10/25 03:02 PM
02/10/25 03:02 PM
Joined: Jun 2012
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Awbarn, AL
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Here's what I predicted would happen and what we see occurring with the trend line in a lot of counties…..I’ll use Montgomery doe harvest numbers as one example to represent them….You can see that over the last five years we’ve trended upward in doe harvest and now we’re coming back down……

Montgomery…….1421…….1486……1706……2122…..1655

That creates a one of these peaks on the doe harvest trend line…..

[Linked Image]

Which looks just like the same kind of peaks and trends we had back during the two per day doe killing……And what we know about that situation looking back on it is that if doe killing goes up and there isnt an increase in population growth to support that…..then you end up with less deer on the backside of it……and that’s where we find ourselves in my area……

[Linked Image]

I think some of the other counties that are seeing big five year highs this year in the upper right quadrant may just be a little behind on the down turn....... I think counties like Covington Co in south Alabama may be as well…..Here is its doe trend line……Either their population has grown a bunch or they’re about to see a big down turn when folks get done killing them off…….although like I said, it is possible that some areas are seeing population increases.....

Covington……1392…….1634……..1730…….2219……2162


We don't rent pigs
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283863
02/10/25 03:07 PM
02/10/25 03:07 PM
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Kennedy, al
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globe Offline
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Just an average year imo.


Everything woke turns to shucks
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: twaldrop4] #4283878
02/10/25 03:33 PM
02/10/25 03:33 PM
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Originally Posted by twaldrop4
I think north and south Alabama are slowing switching deer populations. I think this has been happening for the last 10 years. In the late the 90s northwest Alabama didn’t have as many deer but some true giants came from there (they still do) but the population of deer has increased. In the late 90s there was a lot more crops in south Alabama and the deer population reflected that. I’ve hunted from Camden to Hamilton the last 10 years and it seems the further north you go the better. Which is completely opposite of the past couple decades.


This

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283880
02/10/25 03:42 PM
02/10/25 03:42 PM
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 418
Baldwin County
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UA Hunter Offline
4 point
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Baldwin County
I think there are unlimited reasons why deer kill numbers could fluctuate year to year. If they continue to only go down there may be a population issue, but I'm not seeing or hearing of one in my area and the percentage is down. Are people struggling to see/kill does in their area?

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: UA Hunter] #4283884
02/10/25 03:49 PM
02/10/25 03:49 PM
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Dale County, AL
DGAMBLER Offline
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Originally Posted by UA Hunter
I think there are unlimited reasons why deer kill numbers could fluctuate year to year. If they continue to only go down there may be a population issue, but I'm not seeing or hearing of one in my area and the percentage is down. Are people struggling to see/kill does in their area?

I definitely have less does this year.


To GOD be All the glory!!!
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: DGAMBLER] #4283891
02/10/25 03:59 PM
02/10/25 03:59 PM
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Baldwin County
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UA Hunter Offline
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Baldwin County
Originally Posted by DGAMBLER
Originally Posted by UA Hunter
I think there are unlimited reasons why deer kill numbers could fluctuate year to year. If they continue to only go down there may be a population issue, but I'm not seeing or hearing of one in my area and the percentage is down. Are people struggling to see/kill does in their area?

I definitely have less does this year.


Is that due to you/neighbors killing them? Habitat changes in the area? More pressure? I'm not saying some areas aren't experiencing a decrease in population, but that's not the only thing that would affect harvest numbers.

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: DGAMBLER] #4283897
02/10/25 04:13 PM
02/10/25 04:13 PM
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Awbarn, AL
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Originally Posted by DGAMBLER
Originally Posted by UA Hunter
I think there are unlimited reasons why deer kill numbers could fluctuate year to year. If they continue to only go down there may be a population issue, but I'm not seeing or hearing of one in my area and the percentage is down. Are people struggling to see/kill does in their area?

I definitely have less does this year.


At least part of those big decreases you see in Macon, Bullock, and Russell is due to many of the bigger players cutting off doe harvesting this year because their numbers are down that much……When you take that into consideration and then look at a similar county like Montgomery who’s running another 12-15% ahead in doe harvest it makes you think that maybe there wasnt those folks in that county to pull back the reigns……so they’re still whacking away even though they probably need to be woa’ing up themselves……Probably similar things going on in your county as well where there was a big spike in doe killing the last couple years…..It peaked and folks just havent pulled back the reigns yet.....

Last edited by CNC; 02/10/25 04:14 PM.

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