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Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283898
02/10/25 04:18 PM
02/10/25 04:18 PM
Joined: Jan 2014
Posts: 1,340
Lamar
F
Fishduck Online content
8 point
Fishduck  Online Content
8 point
F
Joined: Jan 2014
Posts: 1,340
Lamar
You guys are arguing Game Check numbers. How accurate are they?????

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: Fishduck] #4283910
02/10/25 04:36 PM
02/10/25 04:36 PM
Joined: Aug 2013
Posts: 12,022
B
BPI Online content
Booner
BPI  Online Content
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Posts: 12,022
Originally Posted by Fishduck
You guys are arguing Game Check numbers. How accurate are they?????


They aren't

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283911
02/10/25 04:38 PM
02/10/25 04:38 PM
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 5,517
B
blade Offline
12 point
blade  Offline
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Posts: 5,517
On the property I own, numbers of does and bucks are sim to last few years which mean they are good. Deer and hog numbers are down significantly at the hunting club I’m in

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: Fishduck] #4283926
02/10/25 04:59 PM
02/10/25 04:59 PM
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 25,093
Awbarn, AL
CNC Online content OP
Dances With Weeds
CNC  Online Content OP
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 25,093
Awbarn, AL
Originally Posted by Fishduck
You guys are arguing Game Check numbers. How accurate are they?????


Plenty accurate enough to look at trends moving up and down over time…..The numbers in my area match up with what the hunters in the field are reporting that I've talked to……Although I think Game Check IS most likely underestimating the amount of change that’s occurring……In other words we’re looking at the legal harvest that was reported and the numbers from those folks is showing us that they have been killing more in some areas…..We can pretty much assume then that the folks not reporting are shooting more as well…..But it highly likely that they are shooting an even greater percentage MORE than the increase game check shows from the legal folks…..That’s why I say its accurate in showing us the up and down but may be a little shy of showing us just how extreme the change actually is……Long story short....its likely even a little worse in reality.

Last edited by CNC; 02/10/25 05:02 PM.

We don't rent pigs
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: BPI] #4283943
02/10/25 05:41 PM
02/10/25 05:41 PM
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 37,720
Boxes Cove
2Dogs Offline
Freak of Nature
2Dogs  Offline
Freak of Nature
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 37,720
Boxes Cove
Originally Posted by BPI
Originally Posted by CNC
Originally Posted by BPI
Can't have it both ways. Either short numbers or high numbers are bad. Gotta pick one.


That's one of the more retarded quotes anyone has come up with in a while......


Let's see.. Worse than Milroe will win a Heisman and a Natty ?
rofl


You got him, twice.



"Why do you ask"?

Always vote the slowest path to socialism.







Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: UA Hunter] #4283949
02/10/25 05:54 PM
02/10/25 05:54 PM
Joined: Dec 2018
Posts: 2,763
Dale County, AL
DGAMBLER Offline
10 point
DGAMBLER  Offline
10 point
Joined: Dec 2018
Posts: 2,763
Dale County, AL
Originally Posted by UA Hunter
Originally Posted by DGAMBLER
Originally Posted by UA Hunter
I think there are unlimited reasons why deer kill numbers could fluctuate year to year. If they continue to only go down there may be a population issue, but I'm not seeing or hearing of one in my area and the percentage is down. Are people struggling to see/kill does in their area?

I definitely have less does this year.


Is that due to you/neighbors killing them? Habitat changes in the area? More pressure? I'm not saying some areas aren't experiencing a decrease in population, but that's not the only thing that would affect harvest numbers.

We haven't been killing them. There was a 150 acre cut next door, but everybody claims that don't bother the deer.


To GOD be All the glory!!!
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: DGAMBLER] #4283954
02/10/25 06:00 PM
02/10/25 06:00 PM
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 418
Baldwin County
U
UA Hunter Offline
4 point
UA Hunter  Offline
4 point
U
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 418
Baldwin County

We haven't been killing them. There was a 150 acre cut next door, but everybody claims that don't bother the deer.[/quote]

10-4. Some of my land was cut too and I think it did bother mine. It'll be interesting to see how it goes next year.

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283989
02/10/25 07:11 PM
02/10/25 07:11 PM
Joined: Jan 2022
Posts: 1,881
Xroads
B
Backwards cowboy Offline
8 point
Backwards cowboy  Offline
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Joined: Jan 2022
Posts: 1,881
Xroads
Originally Posted by CNC
Originally Posted by Fishduck
You guys are arguing Game Check numbers. How accurate are they?????


Plenty accurate enough to look at trends moving up and down over time…..The numbers in my area match up with what the hunters in the field are reporting that I've talked to……Although I think Game Check IS most likely underestimating the amount of change that’s occurring……In other words we’re looking at the legal harvest that was reported and the numbers from those folks is showing us that they have been killing more in some areas…..We can pretty much assume then that the folks not reporting are shooting more as well…..But it highly likely that they are shooting an even greater percentage MORE than the increase game check shows from the legal folks…..That’s why I say its accurate in showing us the up and down but may be a little shy of showing us just how extreme the change actually is……Long story short....its likely even a little worse in reality.




That's only because you dis count every person that disagrees with you!

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4284007
02/10/25 07:37 PM
02/10/25 07:37 PM
Joined: Jun 2017
Posts: 762
N Bama
H
HappyHunter Offline
4 point
HappyHunter  Offline
4 point
H
Joined: Jun 2017
Posts: 762
N Bama
I’m going with this was the best hunting weather we have had in Jackson county in a few years. The last two years we had quite a few weekends that the paint rock was flooded they created access issues for us. Not a single time this year. Good weather helps us a lot.

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: HappyHunter] #4284011
02/10/25 07:48 PM
02/10/25 07:48 PM
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 25,093
Awbarn, AL
CNC Online content OP
Dances With Weeds
CNC  Online Content OP
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 25,093
Awbarn, AL
Originally Posted by HappyHunter
I’m going with this was the best hunting weather we have had in Jackson county in a few years. The last two years we had quite a few weekends that the paint rock was flooded they created access issues for us. Not a single time this year. Good weather helps us a lot.


Jackson Co trend line for the last five years…..

Bucks…..2946………2626……..3104……..2471……..3301
Does……1875………1669……..2360……..1794……..2253


We don't rent pigs
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4284032
02/10/25 08:20 PM
02/10/25 08:20 PM
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 22,086
colbert county
cartervj Offline
Freak of Nature
cartervj  Offline
Freak of Nature
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 22,086
colbert county
Originally Posted by CNC
Originally Posted by Fishduck
You guys are arguing Game Check numbers. How accurate are they?????


Plenty accurate enough to look at trends moving up and down over time…..The numbers in my area match up with what the hunters in the field are reporting that I've talked to……Although I think Game Check IS most likely underestimating the amount of change that’s occurring……In other words we’re looking at the legal harvest that was reported and the numbers from those folks is showing us that they have been killing more in some areas…..We can pretty much assume then that the folks not reporting are shooting more as well…..But it highly likely that they are shooting an even greater percentage MORE than the increase game check shows from the legal folks…..That’s why I say its accurate in showing us the up and down but may be a little shy of showing us just how extreme the change actually is……Long story short....its likely even a little worse in reality.



But what if folks are being more compliant and recording more and more in game check. So the uptick is more of a better compliance count than kill.

Whats the ratio of kills bucks to does. Is it 2 bucks per doe killed or at least more bucks than does killed. If so is that not skewing the buck to doe ratio.


“Socialism only works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and hell where they already have it.” ― Ronald Reagan
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: cartervj] #4284050
02/10/25 08:34 PM
02/10/25 08:34 PM
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 25,093
Awbarn, AL
CNC Online content OP
Dances With Weeds
CNC  Online Content OP
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 25,093
Awbarn, AL
Originally Posted by cartervj
But what if folks are being more compliant and recording more and more in game check. So the uptick is more of a better compliance count than kill.



Then that would mean the down swing in the counties down here like Macon and Bullock is even worse if the 5 year lows we see this season are being helped out by better reporting compliance…….And the counties like Fayette or Pickens that are showing stable numbers across this time period would actually be trending downward……As it is though I don’t think that’s the case…… I’d bet compliance is at a point now where pretty much those who do it do…..and those who don’t….don’t…….


We don't rent pigs
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4284216
02/11/25 06:12 AM
02/11/25 06:12 AM
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 22,086
colbert county
cartervj Offline
Freak of Nature
cartervj  Offline
Freak of Nature
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 22,086
colbert county
Originally Posted by CNC
Originally Posted by cartervj
But what if folks are being more compliant and recording more and more in game check. So the uptick is more of a better compliance count than kill.



Then that would mean the down swing in the counties down here like Macon and Bullock is even worse if the 5 year lows we see this season are being helped out by better reporting compliance…….And the counties like Fayette or Pickens that are showing stable numbers across this time period would actually be trending downward……As it is though I don’t think that’s the case…… I’d bet compliance is at a point now where pretty much those who do it do…..and those who don’t….don’t…….



Did the hunters of Alabama kill more bucks than dies this year and seasons past. Or is it the same or more does than bucks killed.
Is the sex ratio still being skewed since natural mortality is higher in bucks?


“Socialism only works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and hell where they already have it.” ― Ronald Reagan
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4284222
02/11/25 06:59 AM
02/11/25 06:59 AM
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 10,253
North Jackson
R
ridgestalker Offline
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ridgestalker  Offline
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R
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 10,253
North Jackson
Total acorn failure offset with corn got a lot of deer killed in my neck of the woods. People that usually kill a couple of dinks every year killed 2 or 3 good bucks.


"The Heavens declare the glory of God;and the firmament sheweth his handiwork" Pslam 19:1
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4284251
02/11/25 08:28 AM
02/11/25 08:28 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 12,629
Kennedy, al
G
globe Offline
Booner
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G
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 12,629
Kennedy, al
I still have a very good crop of young bucks left and some absolutely monster does, that should put off some healthy twins. My next year is looking good already. Deer my little girl wanted to shoot made it. Curious what he looks like next year, he’s huge but crappy horns.


Everything woke turns to shucks
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: ridgestalker] #4284269
02/11/25 09:13 AM
02/11/25 09:13 AM
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 37,720
Boxes Cove
2Dogs Offline
Freak of Nature
2Dogs  Offline
Freak of Nature
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Boxes Cove
Originally Posted by ridgestalker
Total acorn failure offset with corn got a lot of deer killed in my neck of the woods. People that usually kill a couple of dinks every year killed 2 or 3 good bucks.


I believe you are correct , Sir. If you didn't have other food sources , or didn't bait better than your neighbors , you probably didn't have a very enjoyable season.



"Why do you ask"?

Always vote the slowest path to socialism.







Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: 2Dogs] #4284281
02/11/25 09:31 AM
02/11/25 09:31 AM
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 10,072
USA
M
marshmud991 Offline
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marshmud991  Offline
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Joined: Dec 2009
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USA
Originally Posted by 2Dogs
Originally Posted by ridgestalker
Total acorn failure offset with corn got a lot of deer killed in my neck of the woods. People that usually kill a couple of dinks every year killed 2 or 3 good bucks.


I believe you are correct , Sir. If you didn't have other food sources , or didn't bait better than your neighbors , you probably didn't have a very enjoyable season.

This and some not so good food plots due to the drought had deer utilizing corn piles more. Our tried and true corn pile hunters saw a ton of deer this season at the corn piles. That is up until the great snow storm of ‘25 decided to show up and shut everything down right at our historical peak rut activity. Our total kill numbers are down this year simply because most of us hunt other places and already killed deer and had the meat we wanted, so there was way more deer watching this season then most. We saw lots of marginal bucks but not the bucks we were looking to shoot. I hope they stick around till next season. Should be a good season.


It's hard to kiss the lips at night that chews your a$$ all day long.


Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4284292
02/11/25 09:48 AM
02/11/25 09:48 AM
Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 9,861
B'ham
Goatkiller Offline
14 point
Goatkiller  Offline
14 point
Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 9,861
B'ham

This whole thing is forking stupid......

How did you factor in Summer die off from things like EHD? Would that no impact whatever statistical analysis we think we have going on here?

75% of the people I come across don't use Game Check.

I don't have any deer left my neighbors had to have shot at least 40+ this season. Guarantee not one kill made Game Check. How do you account for localized BS like that while at the same time looking at garbage numbers?

Here is the bottom line:

During the 2024-2025 season far too many 2.5 year old bucks got killed. That's reality. That's why the deer hunting is poor at best in this State. We don't have an overall deer numbers problem we've got a hunters shooting small bucks problem first and foremost.

I don't need 50 more does I need my neighbors to quit killing everything they see.


No government employees were harmed in the making of this mess.
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: 2Dogs] #4284295
02/11/25 09:58 AM
02/11/25 09:58 AM
Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 2,519
kyles
K
kyles Offline
10 point
kyles  Offline
10 point
K
Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 2,519
kyles
Originally Posted by 2Dogs
Originally Posted by ridgestalker
Total acorn failure offset with corn got a lot of deer killed in my neck of the woods. People that usually kill a couple of dinks every year killed 2 or 3 good bucks.


I believe you are correct , Sir. If you didn't have other food sources , or didn't bait better than your neighbors , you probably didn't have a very enjoyable season.

Persactly right to what happened in Jackson county. Looking at the trend line we will suffer a little for it next year. Both in size and numbers

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4284300
02/11/25 10:09 AM
02/11/25 10:09 AM
Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 2,519
kyles
K
kyles Offline
10 point
kyles  Offline
10 point
K
Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 2,519
kyles
Goatkiller if it is as bad as you say I believe i would involve Mr Green Jeans . I pretty well mine my own business but if somebody is wiping out the deer and especially turkeys next to me, I will act. I don't own any deer or turkeys but i spend a lot of money planting and feeding and making their habitat better. I know you aint bashful lol I am talking about land I own not a club or lease

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