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Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283898
Yesterday at 03:18 PM
Yesterday at 03:18 PM
Joined: Jan 2014
Posts: 1,308
Lamar
F
Fishduck Offline
8 point
Fishduck  Offline
8 point
F
Joined: Jan 2014
Posts: 1,308
Lamar
You guys are arguing Game Check numbers. How accurate are they?????

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: Fishduck] #4283910
Yesterday at 03:36 PM
Yesterday at 03:36 PM
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Posts: 11,684
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BPI Offline
Booner
BPI  Offline
Booner
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Joined: Aug 2013
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Originally Posted by Fishduck
You guys are arguing Game Check numbers. How accurate are they?????


They aren't

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283911
Yesterday at 03:38 PM
Yesterday at 03:38 PM
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 5,461
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blade Offline
12 point
blade  Offline
12 point
B
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 5,461
On the property I own, numbers of does and bucks are sim to last few years which mean they are good. Deer and hog numbers are down significantly at the hunting club I’m in

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: Fishduck] #4283926
Yesterday at 03:59 PM
Yesterday at 03:59 PM
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 24,595
Awbarn, AL
CNC Offline OP
Dances With Weeds
CNC  Offline OP
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 24,595
Awbarn, AL
Originally Posted by Fishduck
You guys are arguing Game Check numbers. How accurate are they?????


Plenty accurate enough to look at trends moving up and down over time…..The numbers in my area match up with what the hunters in the field are reporting that I've talked to……Although I think Game Check IS most likely underestimating the amount of change that’s occurring……In other words we’re looking at the legal harvest that was reported and the numbers from those folks is showing us that they have been killing more in some areas…..We can pretty much assume then that the folks not reporting are shooting more as well…..But it highly likely that they are shooting an even greater percentage MORE than the increase game check shows from the legal folks…..That’s why I say its accurate in showing us the up and down but may be a little shy of showing us just how extreme the change actually is……Long story short....its likely even a little worse in reality.

Last edited by CNC; Yesterday at 04:02 PM.

We dont rent pigs
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: BPI] #4283943
Yesterday at 04:41 PM
Yesterday at 04:41 PM
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 37,435
Boxes Cove
2Dogs Offline
Freak of Nature
2Dogs  Offline
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Boxes Cove
Originally Posted by BPI
Originally Posted by CNC
Originally Posted by BPI
Can't have it both ways. Either short numbers or high numbers are bad. Gotta pick one.


That's one of the more retarded quotes anyone has come up with in a while......


Let's see.. Worse than Milroe will win a Heisman and a Natty ?
rofl


You got him, twice.



"Why do you ask"?

Always vote the slowest path to socialism.







Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: UA Hunter] #4283949
Yesterday at 04:54 PM
Yesterday at 04:54 PM
Joined: Dec 2018
Posts: 2,717
Dale County, AL
DGAMBLER Offline
10 point
DGAMBLER  Offline
10 point
Joined: Dec 2018
Posts: 2,717
Dale County, AL
Originally Posted by UA Hunter
Originally Posted by DGAMBLER
Originally Posted by UA Hunter
I think there are unlimited reasons why deer kill numbers could fluctuate year to year. If they continue to only go down there may be a population issue, but I'm not seeing or hearing of one in my area and the percentage is down. Are people struggling to see/kill does in their area?

I definitely have less does this year.


Is that due to you/neighbors killing them? Habitat changes in the area? More pressure? I'm not saying some areas aren't experiencing a decrease in population, but that's not the only thing that would affect harvest numbers.

We haven't been killing them. There was a 150 acre cut next door, but everybody claims that don't bother the deer.


To GOD be All the glory!!!
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: DGAMBLER] #4283954
Yesterday at 05:00 PM
Yesterday at 05:00 PM
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 409
Baldwin County
U
UA Hunter Offline
4 point
UA Hunter  Offline
4 point
U
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 409
Baldwin County

We haven't been killing them. There was a 150 acre cut next door, but everybody claims that don't bother the deer.[/quote]

10-4. Some of my land was cut too and I think it did bother mine. It'll be interesting to see how it goes next year.

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4283989
Yesterday at 06:11 PM
Yesterday at 06:11 PM
Joined: Jan 2022
Posts: 1,806
Xroads
B
Backwards cowboy Offline
8 point
Backwards cowboy  Offline
8 point
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Joined: Jan 2022
Posts: 1,806
Xroads
Originally Posted by CNC
Originally Posted by Fishduck
You guys are arguing Game Check numbers. How accurate are they?????


Plenty accurate enough to look at trends moving up and down over time…..The numbers in my area match up with what the hunters in the field are reporting that I've talked to……Although I think Game Check IS most likely underestimating the amount of change that’s occurring……In other words we’re looking at the legal harvest that was reported and the numbers from those folks is showing us that they have been killing more in some areas…..We can pretty much assume then that the folks not reporting are shooting more as well…..But it highly likely that they are shooting an even greater percentage MORE than the increase game check shows from the legal folks…..That’s why I say its accurate in showing us the up and down but may be a little shy of showing us just how extreme the change actually is……Long story short....its likely even a little worse in reality.




That's only because you dis count every person that disagrees with you!

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4284007
Yesterday at 06:37 PM
Yesterday at 06:37 PM
Joined: Jun 2017
Posts: 745
N Bama
H
HappyHunter Offline
4 point
HappyHunter  Offline
4 point
H
Joined: Jun 2017
Posts: 745
N Bama
I’m going with this was the best hunting weather we have had in Jackson county in a few years. The last two years we had quite a few weekends that the paint rock was flooded they created access issues for us. Not a single time this year. Good weather helps us a lot.

Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: HappyHunter] #4284011
Yesterday at 06:48 PM
Yesterday at 06:48 PM
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 24,595
Awbarn, AL
CNC Offline OP
Dances With Weeds
CNC  Offline OP
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 24,595
Awbarn, AL
Originally Posted by HappyHunter
I’m going with this was the best hunting weather we have had in Jackson county in a few years. The last two years we had quite a few weekends that the paint rock was flooded they created access issues for us. Not a single time this year. Good weather helps us a lot.


Jackson Co trend line for the last five years…..

Bucks…..2946………2626……..3104……..2471……..3301
Does……1875………1669……..2360……..1794……..2253


We dont rent pigs
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: CNC] #4284032
Yesterday at 07:20 PM
Yesterday at 07:20 PM
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 21,622
colbert county
cartervj Offline
Freak of Nature
cartervj  Offline
Freak of Nature
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 21,622
colbert county
Originally Posted by CNC
Originally Posted by Fishduck
You guys are arguing Game Check numbers. How accurate are they?????


Plenty accurate enough to look at trends moving up and down over time…..The numbers in my area match up with what the hunters in the field are reporting that I've talked to……Although I think Game Check IS most likely underestimating the amount of change that’s occurring……In other words we’re looking at the legal harvest that was reported and the numbers from those folks is showing us that they have been killing more in some areas…..We can pretty much assume then that the folks not reporting are shooting more as well…..But it highly likely that they are shooting an even greater percentage MORE than the increase game check shows from the legal folks…..That’s why I say its accurate in showing us the up and down but may be a little shy of showing us just how extreme the change actually is……Long story short....its likely even a little worse in reality.



But what if folks are being more compliant and recording more and more in game check. So the uptick is more of a better compliance count than kill.

Whats the ratio of kills bucks to does. Is it 2 bucks per doe killed or at least more bucks than does killed. If so is that not skewing the buck to doe ratio.


“Socialism only works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and hell where they already have it.” ― Ronald Reagan
Re: Season Predictions: The Final Tally [Re: cartervj] #4284050
Yesterday at 07:34 PM
Yesterday at 07:34 PM
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 24,595
Awbarn, AL
CNC Offline OP
Dances With Weeds
CNC  Offline OP
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 24,595
Awbarn, AL
Originally Posted by cartervj
But what if folks are being more compliant and recording more and more in game check. So the uptick is more of a better compliance count than kill.



Then that would mean the down swing in the counties down here like Macon and Bullock is even worse if the 5 year lows we see this season are being helped out by better reporting compliance…….And the counties like Fayette or Pickens that are showing stable numbers across this time period would actually be trending downward……As it is though I don’t think that’s the case…… I’d bet compliance is at a point now where pretty much those who do it do…..and those who don’t….don’t…….


We dont rent pigs
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