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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: Fattyfireplug]
#4306930
04/03/25 04:12 PM
04/03/25 04:12 PM
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Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4,933 Alabama
jmj120
12 point
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12 point
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4,933
Alabama
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I’m afraid Trump is handing the midterms over to the democrats. Hopefully they get this tax bill passed and signed into law soon. I dont understand how you really see that . What he ran and was elected for Hes doing just what he said he was gonna do Those who will cut and run when the first shots are fired are showing themselves aren't they? Tolerance for pain for the greater good simply isn't there. It's one of our biggest weaknesses. Destroying ourselves from the inside. Lots of folks who talk a tough game. But when it really matters, they'll cut and run. It's on display today. Name one person who is happy this afternoon that their 401K or stock portfolio is down 10% since Trump got in. Will it get better? History says yes. Will the Democrats have a good midterm if we are in a recession? I think so. Again, this needed to happen, I support it, that doesn't mean you can't discuss it.
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: Fattyfireplug]
#4306938
04/03/25 04:20 PM
04/03/25 04:20 PM
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Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 11,289 Conecuh county
hallb
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 11,289
Conecuh county
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I’m afraid Trump is handing the midterms over to the democrats. Hopefully they get this tax bill passed and signed into law soon. I dont understand how you really see that . What he ran and was elected for Hes doing just what he said he was gonna do Those who will cut and run when the first shots are fired are showing themselves aren't they? Tolerance for pain for the greater good simply isn't there. It's one of our biggest weaknesses. Destroying ourselves from the inside. Lots of folks who talk a tough game. But when it really matters, they'll cut and run. It's on display today. Yeap! I'm not worried about what my retirement account does today or this week, next week. If I was - or was retiring soon - I wouldn't have that money invested in stocks any longer. In fact, I put in more today.
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: Frankie]
#4306939
04/03/25 04:21 PM
04/03/25 04:21 PM
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Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4,933 Alabama
jmj120
12 point
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12 point
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4,933
Alabama
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Like I say, if the Republicans can find a way to F it up they will but I don't see it being Trumps fault If they get this bill passed things will get better.
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: jmj120]
#4306942
04/03/25 04:26 PM
04/03/25 04:26 PM
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Joined: Apr 2000
Posts: 18,307 Elmore County
Frankie
Old Mossy Horns
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Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Apr 2000
Posts: 18,307
Elmore County
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Like I say, if the Republicans can find a way to F it up they will but I don't see it being Trumps fault If they get this bill passed things will get better. I hope the dont stop the tariffs
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: Frankie]
#4306943
04/03/25 04:28 PM
04/03/25 04:28 PM
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Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4,933 Alabama
jmj120
12 point
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12 point
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4,933
Alabama
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Like I say, if the Republicans can find a way to F it up they will but I don't see it being Trumps fault If they get this bill passed things will get better. I hope the dont stop the tariffs "I don't think there's any chance that President Trump is gonna back off his tariffs," Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said on the network. That was the Commerce Secretary this morning. We shall see if this if a bargaining chip or something permanent.
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: wew3006]
#4306945
04/03/25 04:31 PM
04/03/25 04:31 PM
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Joined: Apr 2000
Posts: 18,307 Elmore County
Frankie
Old Mossy Horns
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Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Apr 2000
Posts: 18,307
Elmore County
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Yeah but the house and senate steps in and takes that advantage away from him. It'll hurt , just a card he don't have to play
Last edited by Frankie; 04/03/25 04:32 PM.
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: wew3006]
#4306948
04/03/25 04:36 PM
04/03/25 04:36 PM
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Joined: Apr 2000
Posts: 18,307 Elmore County
Frankie
Old Mossy Horns
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Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Apr 2000
Posts: 18,307
Elmore County
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Pretty sure Trump knows it might cause a little pain for us but also knows it'll cause other countries a lot more.
Last edited by Frankie; 04/03/25 04:37 PM.
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: globe]
#4306961
04/03/25 05:25 PM
04/03/25 05:25 PM
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Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 37,834 Boxes Cove
2Dogs
Freak of Nature
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Freak of Nature
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 37,834
Boxes Cove
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Berkshire is still holding cash, waiting on the correction imo.
Yep, just $ 330 Billion + ! I read that's the most cash any company in history has had in reserve . He may buy some huge company soon and /or some HUGE blocks of stocks. Lots of folks don't know they own a bunch of companies outright, I believe the believe the largest is BNSF RR. I've been nibbling on Berk B for a couple of months , already had several shares. Don't know about after today , but I'm up on every purchase. I plan on adding more.
"Why do you ask"?
Always vote the slowest path to socialism.
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: abolt300]
#4306964
04/03/25 05:31 PM
04/03/25 05:31 PM
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Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 22,236 colbert county
cartervj
Freak of Nature
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Freak of Nature
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 22,236
colbert county
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Been watching this unfold and here are some thoughts. Not sure that he's actually a long term/strategic enough thinker to do this, but is Trump attempting to intentionally put the US into a short recession to force treasury yields down, thus strategically reducing the interest that we are paying on our national debt (1.6 trillion in 2025)? While at the same time, forcing a complete re-negotiation of essentially all foreign trade agreements, while forcing a ton of manufacturing and jobs to come home? in other words, basically manipulating the US economy and international trade in order to be able to restructure and refi our debt and debt service, at favorable terms, just like you would do by taking advantage of refinancing your house at a lower rate, if you were in a position to be able to force the rates down at your own discretion and timing?
Scott Bessent certainly is strategic enough to do it and he said this morning, three times, that rates would be coming "way" down. If they can thread the needle and pull it off, it will be a huge win/win for the US. Helps with our cashflow and debt issues. Once new trade deals are negotiated, prices will come down on all the foreign crap that the US is addicted to. It brings jobs home, while at the same time opening up and making international trade much more favorable for US businesses, and those businesses will be paying additional US taxes on all that additional revenue. He's also said repeatedly over the past two weeks, that the US is not going to go into a recession. By definition that's a 6 month period.
Only question is, how long would the manipulated recession last (it's technically only a recession if there are 2 quarters of negative GDP....real definition, not the BS that Biden's group changed the definition to, in order to claim that we were not in a recession) and can they pull this off without crashing the US economy. Some jobs will be lost and some weaker companies will fall to the wayside but those that survive will be in much better shape moving into the future. Safety net, if it goes bad, is to simply drop all the tariffs and everything resets back to where it was.
We are living in very complicated and interesting financial times. I'll also mention that China and many other countries are constantly doing similar things, on a regular basis, through trade, govt subsidized industries, and blatant currency manipulation. Fun Fun. Buckle up.
Pwyse, it's a calculated risk. I'm betting it works and also feel certain that they will not let it go all the way into a full blown crash before pulling that parachute, if they think it is headed that way. They've teased this out over the last several months and the market has slowly cooled off, and in a semi-controlled manner, sold off. Not crashed. I could easily be wrong, but at this point, I really think it is all planned and intentional.
I’m agreeing with what you’re saying and it’s being played out as Trumps team planned The thing that I’m not seeing mentioned is just much overvaluation has been in the market. The FED had been pumping cash in since Obama’s terms and never slowed down. If anything has ramped up. If those infusions are cut or somewhat cut back does the market correct itself along side Trumps play. Biden’s team kept the markets flush with cash and cheap money until it crapped out with inflationary spikes
“Socialism only works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and hell where they already have it.” ― Ronald Reagan
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: 2Dogs]
#4306967
04/03/25 05:53 PM
04/03/25 05:53 PM
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Joined: Jan 2001
Posts: 12,544 Birmingham
wew3006
OP
Booner
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OP
Booner
Joined: Jan 2001
Posts: 12,544
Birmingham
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Berkshire is still holding cash, waiting on the correction imo.
Yep, just $ 330 Billion + ! I read that's the most cash any company in history has had in reserve . He may buy some huge company soon and /or some HUGE blocks of stocks. Lots of folks don't know they own a bunch of companies outright, I believe the believe the largest is BNSF RR. I've been nibbling on Berk B for a couple of months , already had several shares. Don't know about after today , but I'm up on every purchase. I plan on adding more. GEICO is Berkshire's largest wholly owned company
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: cartervj]
#4306970
04/03/25 06:03 PM
04/03/25 06:03 PM
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Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4,933 Alabama
jmj120
12 point
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12 point
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4,933
Alabama
|
Been watching this unfold and here are some thoughts. Not sure that he's actually a long term/strategic enough thinker to do this, but is Trump attempting to intentionally put the US into a short recession to force treasury yields down, thus strategically reducing the interest that we are paying on our national debt (1.6 trillion in 2025)? While at the same time, forcing a complete re-negotiation of essentially all foreign trade agreements, while forcing a ton of manufacturing and jobs to come home? in other words, basically manipulating the US economy and international trade in order to be able to restructure and refi our debt and debt service, at favorable terms, just like you would do by taking advantage of refinancing your house at a lower rate, if you were in a position to be able to force the rates down at your own discretion and timing?
Scott Bessent certainly is strategic enough to do it and he said this morning, three times, that rates would be coming "way" down. If they can thread the needle and pull it off, it will be a huge win/win for the US. Helps with our cashflow and debt issues. Once new trade deals are negotiated, prices will come down on all the foreign crap that the US is addicted to. It brings jobs home, while at the same time opening up and making international trade much more favorable for US businesses, and those businesses will be paying additional US taxes on all that additional revenue. He's also said repeatedly over the past two weeks, that the US is not going to go into a recession. By definition that's a 6 month period.
Only question is, how long would the manipulated recession last (it's technically only a recession if there are 2 quarters of negative GDP....real definition, not the BS that Biden's group changed the definition to, in order to claim that we were not in a recession) and can they pull this off without crashing the US economy. Some jobs will be lost and some weaker companies will fall to the wayside but those that survive will be in much better shape moving into the future. Safety net, if it goes bad, is to simply drop all the tariffs and everything resets back to where it was.
We are living in very complicated and interesting financial times. I'll also mention that China and many other countries are constantly doing similar things, on a regular basis, through trade, govt subsidized industries, and blatant currency manipulation. Fun Fun. Buckle up.
Pwyse, it's a calculated risk. I'm betting it works and also feel certain that they will not let it go all the way into a full blown crash before pulling that parachute, if they think it is headed that way. They've teased this out over the last several months and the market has slowly cooled off, and in a semi-controlled manner, sold off. Not crashed. I could easily be wrong, but at this point, I really think it is all planned and intentional.
I’m agreeing with what you’re saying and it’s being played out as Trumps team planned The thing that I’m not seeing mentioned is just much overvaluation has been in the market. The FED had been pumping cash in since Obama’s terms and never slowed down. If anything has ramped up. If those infusions are cut or somewhat cut back does the market correct itself along side Trumps play. Biden’s team kept the markets flush with cash and cheap money until it crapped out with inflationary spikes I agree with Biden keeping the market pumped up, but that last run in the last quarter was the Trump effect. Started running up when it looked like Trump was going to win then kept going.. Euphoria......
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: wew3006]
#4306980
04/03/25 07:22 PM
04/03/25 07:22 PM
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Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 37,834 Boxes Cove
2Dogs
Freak of Nature
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Freak of Nature
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 37,834
Boxes Cove
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Berkshire is still holding cash, waiting on the correction imo.
Yep, just $ 330 Billion + ! I read that's the most cash any company in history has had in reserve . He may buy some huge company soon and /or some HUGE blocks of stocks. Lots of folks don't know they own a bunch of companies outright, I believe the believe the largest is BNSF RR. I've been nibbling on Berk B for a couple of months , already had several shares. Don't know about after today , but I'm up on every purchase. I plan on adding more. GEICO is Berkshire's largest wholly owned company I'm seeing BNSF has 92 billion in assets and estimated worth 200 billion if it were a public traded company. Geico has about 32 billion in assets and is worth about 50 billion. Heck, Berk paid 34 billion for BNSF in 2010. Least that's what I found on the interwebs.
"Why do you ask"?
Always vote the slowest path to socialism.
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: jmj120]
#4307004
04/03/25 09:04 PM
04/03/25 09:04 PM
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Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 7,065 Mobile, AL
Pwyse
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 7,065
Mobile, AL
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The saltwater boys are pissed. 25% increase on Yamaha engines and parts.. Yeah but outboard engines were already so cheap 🙄
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: wew3006]
#4307013
04/03/25 09:35 PM
04/03/25 09:35 PM
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Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 20,492 North AL
AU338MAG
Freak of Nature
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Freak of Nature
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 20,492
North AL
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It's taken decades for our politicians to create this mess and sell out the American people.
The road to correcting this mess will be rough.
Trump is the ONLY man who doesn't GAF about the political fallout and the balls to do WHAT MUST BE DONE.
This chit didn't happen overnight and won't be fixed overnight. There's gonna be some pain along the way but it's gotta happen for our future prosperity as a country.
Dying ain't much of a living boy...Josey Wales
Molon Labe
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: wew3006]
#4307026
04/03/25 10:22 PM
04/03/25 10:22 PM
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Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,710 Luverne, AL
Skinny
GUVNER
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GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 72,710
Luverne, AL
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Asian markets are taking a beating right now. Tomorrow could be a real Black Friday.
"Never Trust Government" -- Smart people. "The Great thing we should Fear and the Weird Thing we Trust is Elon Musk" -- Me "You can be broke but you cant be poor." -- Ruthie-May Webster
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: wew3006]
#4307027
04/03/25 10:22 PM
04/03/25 10:22 PM
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Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 17,280 Montgomery
bamaeyedoc
Old Mossy Horns
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Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 17,280
Montgomery
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This thread makes my head hurt. I prob should have spent less time in the woods and more time figuring out stuff like y’all talk about.
AKA: “Dr. B” Aldeer #121 8-3-2000 Proud alum of AUM, UAB, and UA 2023-2024 ALdeer Deer Contest Winners 2024-2025 Aldeer Deer Contest Winners
Glennis Jerome "Jerry" Harris 1938-2017 UGA Class of 1960 BS/MS Forestry LTJG, USNR
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: wew3006]
#4307028
04/03/25 10:25 PM
04/03/25 10:25 PM
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Joined: Dec 2014
Posts: 8,463 Boaz,AL
CarbonClimber1
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Dec 2014
Posts: 8,463
Boaz,AL
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I rekin if the market crashes…ill still change the oil in the rambler like i always dun
"I dont quit.. And ill fight alone if i have to"
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Re: Tariffs hitting the markets
[Re: AU338MAG]
#4307050
04/04/25 06:52 AM
04/04/25 06:52 AM
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Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4,933 Alabama
jmj120
12 point
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12 point
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4,933
Alabama
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It's taken decades for our politicians to create this mess and sell out the American people.
The road to correcting this mess will be rough.
Trump is the ONLY man who doesn't GAF about the political fallout and the balls to do WHAT MUST BE DONE.
This chit didn't happen overnight and won't be fixed overnight. There's gonna be some pain along the way but it's gotta happen for our future prosperity as a country. I hope like hell Trump's bunch knows what they're doing and not just telling him what he want's to hear. As I said earlier, every economist I heard today can't understand why they did this or what calculations they used
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