|
|
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
24
|
25
|
26
|
27
|
28
|
29
|
30
|
31
|
|
|
11 registered members (jb20, Lonster, oldknight, Cactus_buck, deadeye48, buzzard, MTeague, fur_n_feathers, Shane99, hyco, 1 invisible),
748
guests, and 0
spiders. |
Key:
Admin,
Global Mod,
Mod
|
|
|
Serious Cruz/Trump question: No BS or I will delete it.
#1703409
03/30/16 04:24 PM
03/30/16 04:24 PM
|
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 25,528 Tampa
Beer Belly
OP
Freak of Nature
|
OP
Freak of Nature
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 25,528
Tampa
|
Just focus on strategy. Please refrain from bashing or soapbox speeches.
Cruz will probably take Wisconsin, but not by 50% so the votes will be split. Trump will take 95 votes from NY. If you ignore TX, Trump has 55% more popular votes than Cruz. Lot of that is FL. Trump is polling 21 points higher than Cruz today.
As of right now: Cruz has zero chance of getting to 1237, because Trump will win more of the remaining states, Kasich may take a few. The remaining states are out of Cruz's strong areas.
Here is the issue: If the GOP will screw Trump at ~1200 candidates, because 1237 is the magic number, then they will have NO problem telling Cruz to go away at ~800 delegates. The establishment hates Cruz as much as Trump.
Why is Cruz staying in the race? Will Cruz quit once he is mathematically eliminated? Does he think that he can win at the convention? Will Kasich ever quit?
Does Cruz/Trump have some big plan that will fool everyone? I would love that, but don't think so. Trump/Kasich - Maybe? Cruz/Kasich - Maybe? Cruz/Establishment - ?? Kasich/Establishment - Probably
Is Kasich just tying to screw both Trump/Cruz. He is mathematically eliminated now. Trump easily gets to 1237 if Kasich leaves now. (because of the remaining states)
I can usually figure things out, but this one has me baffled. Maybe everything is just happening and the powers that be can't keep up with it, and hope to find a solution at the end.
|
|
|
Re: Serious Cruz/Trump question: No BS or I will delete it.
[Re: Beer Belly]
#1703426
03/30/16 04:37 PM
03/30/16 04:37 PM
|
Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 23,948 Clarksville, TN /Greenville, ...
bill
Freak of Nature
|
Freak of Nature
Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 23,948
Clarksville, TN /Greenville, ...
|
Cruz is in the race because he wants to win and he believes Donald is no better than Hillary. Judging from the recent talk from all the candidates I think it's pretty clear that none plan on supporting the other no matter what. Kasich is hoping to sneak in with the establishment backing. Cruz is hoping to come close enough to make a case for the nomination at the convention. Trump is going to have the most delegates but his support is weakening and he won't get the required number to win outright. Who knows what he will do? If Trump wins the nomination or if he runs third party it all turns out the same way. Hillary wins.
Btw, once someone responds to your post your can't delete it. You used to be able to but the only people who can delete a thread now are mods.
"Political debate: when charlatans come together to discuss their principles" - Bauvard
|
|
|
Re: Serious Cruz/Trump question: No BS or I will delete it.
[Re: Beer Belly]
#1703428
03/30/16 04:38 PM
03/30/16 04:38 PM
|
Joined: Nov 2004
Posts: 9,565 Cape San Blas, Florida
Deadwood
Footbsll Bat PSYOPS
|
Footbsll Bat PSYOPS
Joined: Nov 2004
Posts: 9,565
Cape San Blas, Florida
|
I think Kasich is staying in under direct orders from the GOP bigwigs to buy them some time to effect some plan they are hatching.
Kasich knows he's a sacrificial goat and is trading in favors for future favors.
That's simplistic, but that's what it smells like.
|
|
|
Re: Serious Cruz/Trump question: No BS or I will delete it.
[Re: Beer Belly]
#1703435
03/30/16 04:44 PM
03/30/16 04:44 PM
|
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 24,859 Buc-ee’s Beach Express
leroycnbucks
Freak of Nature
|
Freak of Nature
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 24,859
Buc-ee’s Beach Express
|
I'm guessing since some of the establishment is supporting Cruz now that Rubio is out if Trump doesn't have the delegates locked up by convention time there is something in the works. The establishment fears a Trump presidency for whatever reason I don't know. Even a Cruz supporter as myself can see this. Just my opinion.
Proud Army and ALNG veteran God Bless America!
|
|
|
Re: Serious Cruz/Trump question: No BS or I will delete it.
[Re: Deadwood]
#1703436
03/30/16 04:44 PM
03/30/16 04:44 PM
|
Joined: Jan 2001
Posts: 25,895 Fayetteville TN Via Selma
jawbone
Freak of Nature
|
Freak of Nature
Joined: Jan 2001
Posts: 25,895
Fayetteville TN Via Selma
|
I think Kasich is staying in under direct orders from the GOP bigwigs to buy them some time to effect some plan they are hatching.
Kasich knows he's a sacrificial goat and is trading in favors for future favors.
That's simplistic, but that's what it smells like. I agree that Kasich is trying to earn favors. The question is, is it for down the road or eyeballing the nomination through the backdoor (contested convention)?
Lord, please help us get our nation straightened out.
|
|
|
Re: Serious Cruz/Trump question: No BS or I will delete it.
[Re: jawbone]
#1703444
03/30/16 04:50 PM
03/30/16 04:50 PM
|
Joined: Nov 2004
Posts: 9,565 Cape San Blas, Florida
Deadwood
Footbsll Bat PSYOPS
|
Footbsll Bat PSYOPS
Joined: Nov 2004
Posts: 9,565
Cape San Blas, Florida
|
I think Kasich is staying in under direct orders from the GOP bigwigs to buy them some time to effect some plan they are hatching.
Kasich knows he's a sacrificial goat and is trading in favors for future favors.
That's simplistic, but that's what it smells like. I agree that Kasich is trying to earn favors. The question is, is it for down the road or eyeballing the nomination through the backdoor (contested convention)? Down the road kind of favor, maybe a cabinet position. The population is too divided for a dark horse like Kasich right now. The GOP is going to try to feed us a turd sandwich such as a "new and improved" Romney at the convention.
|
|
|
Re: Serious Cruz/Trump question: No BS or I will delete it.
[Re: Deadwood]
#1703460
03/30/16 04:58 PM
03/30/16 04:58 PM
|
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 6,403 D'Iberville, MS
MS_Hunter
12 point
|
12 point
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 6,403
D'Iberville, MS
|
I think Kasich is staying in under direct orders from the GOP bigwigs to buy them some time to effect some plan they are hatching.
Kasich knows he's a sacrificial goat and is trading in favors for future favors.
That's simplistic, but that's what it smells like. This^^^^^^ I know it's politics but it still stinks to high heaven. When that dude from the GOP (don't remember his name) came out and said "we pick candidates, not the voters" I knew the fix was probably going to be in
In your darkest hour when the demons come, call on me brother and we'll fight them together.
|
|
|
Re: Serious Cruz/Trump question: No BS or I will delete it.
[Re: leroycnbucks]
#1703469
03/30/16 05:06 PM
03/30/16 05:06 PM
|
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 2,142 Saraland, Al
BamaFan64
8 point
|
8 point
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 2,142
Saraland, Al
|
I'm guessing since some of the establishment is supporting Cruz now that Rubio is out if Trump doesn't have the delegates locked up by convention time there is something in the works. The establishment fears a Trump presidency for whatever reason I don't know. Even a Cruz supporter as myself can see this. Just my opinion. I honestly believe the establishment is supporting Cruz because they think he can keep Trump from locking up all the delegates he needs. I think they're only supporting him because they think they can torpedo Cruz easier, giving Hillary the WH. Hillary in the WH keeps the GOP elite with the power they currently hold and keeps them in a position to keep robbing the taxpayer. I think Trump now is considering an Independent run if this happens, and as crazy as this election has been so far, he may win, something neither party wants to see.
|
|
|
Re: Serious Cruz/Trump question: No BS or I will delete it.
[Re: Ben2]
#1703472
03/30/16 05:08 PM
03/30/16 05:08 PM
|
Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 23,948 Clarksville, TN /Greenville, ...
bill
Freak of Nature
|
Freak of Nature
Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 23,948
Clarksville, TN /Greenville, ...
|
After hearing him say Healthcare and Education were 2 of the 3 major responsibilities of the federal government his support may seriously dwindle. His policies don't matter a bit, at this point. It's all about winning, no matter the consequences.
"Political debate: when charlatans come together to discuss their principles" - Bauvard
|
|
|
Re: Serious Cruz/Trump question: No BS or I will delete it.
[Re: Beer Belly]
#1703478
03/30/16 05:15 PM
03/30/16 05:15 PM
|
Joined: May 2015
Posts: 6,363 On the X
TickaTicka
12 point
|
12 point
Joined: May 2015
Posts: 6,363
On the X
|
The firing ring the GOP has been engaged in has done it's damage and ensures Hillary wins. This election is over.
Public Land Owner
|
|
|
Re: Serious Cruz/Trump question: No BS or I will delete it.
[Re: Dixiepatriot]
#1703482
03/30/16 05:21 PM
03/30/16 05:21 PM
|
Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 23,948 Clarksville, TN /Greenville, ...
bill
Freak of Nature
|
Freak of Nature
Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 23,948
Clarksville, TN /Greenville, ...
|
The party will screw Trump and run Kasich. The democrats will screw Sanders by nominating Biden after Hilldebeast is indicted. Trump will be pissed and run third party. No one will win a majority of electoral votes and the House of Representatives will elect Jeb Bush.Obama will pardon the beast and her accomplices and then declare martial law and refuse to leave. I don't see any scenario in which Hillary gets indicted. Democrats don't want it to happen and Republicans are too scared that someone might take a look in their closet if they dared to go that direction.
"Political debate: when charlatans come together to discuss their principles" - Bauvard
|
|
|
Re: Serious Cruz/Trump question: No BS or I will delete it.
[Re: TickaTicka]
#1703488
03/30/16 05:28 PM
03/30/16 05:28 PM
|
Joined: Dec 2004
Posts: 18,873 .
ford150man
Old Mossy Horns
|
Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Dec 2004
Posts: 18,873
.
|
The firing ring the GOP has been engaged in has done it's damage and ensures Hillary wins. This election is over. ^^^This^^^
If voting made any difference, they wouldn’t let us do it.-Mark Twain
|
|
|
Re: Serious Cruz/Trump question: No BS or I will delete it.
[Re: Beer Belly]
#1703507
03/30/16 06:01 PM
03/30/16 06:01 PM
|
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 2,236 Foley, AL
Vulkanman
8 point
|
8 point
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 2,236
Foley, AL
|
Why is it surprising the the GOP establishment would rather hand the election to Hillary than see Trump win?
Half of the so-called conservative here feel the same way? They spout the same drivel so often and so long that they eventually believe it as fact, and then ridicule anyone who disagrees as being "low information " and crap like that.
As a society we have become too stoopid to govern ourselves.
|
|
|
Re: Serious Cruz/Trump question: No BS or I will delete it.
[Re: Beer Belly]
#1703543
03/30/16 07:46 PM
03/30/16 07:46 PM
|
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 8,622 Blount County
BamaBart
Panty Wearin' Hunter
|
Panty Wearin' Hunter
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 8,622
Blount County
|
The only way the lifestyles of the establishment and their cronies will change is if Donald Trump gets elected. They don't care if Hillary or Sanders gets elected. They just don't want Trump screwing up what they have organized over several decades!
. .
|
|
|
|